NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44f06474fcabebadcfeeebf4771f4976275dba7d9d839d0df29bcc81f003527f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x010f…5380backed Devils | 64c | 47,969$30,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,699.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe072…125dbacked Penguins | 36c | 47,775$17,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,576 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Penguins | 36c | 29,967$10,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,065.56 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…b335backed Penguins | 36c | 25,060$9,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,038.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…2a73backed Devils | 64c | 24,870$15,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,916.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Devils | 63c | 10,433$6,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,572.75 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Devils | 64c | 8,480$5,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,427.2 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Devils | 64c | 7,590$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 34c | 3,369$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.06 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed Penguins | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Devils | 64c | 2,191$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Devils | 62c | 2,163$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.84 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Devils | 65c | 2,021$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.65 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Penguins | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…fa41backed Devils | 65c | 1,557$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed Penguins | 35c | 1,555$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Devils | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…e344backed Penguins | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Devils | 65c | 1,472$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.44 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Devils | 75c | 1,389$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.58 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Devils | 62c | 1,348$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.48 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Penguins | 36c | 1,341$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.98 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…9bc8backed Devils | 63c | 1,221$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…b674backed Devils | 65c | 1,209$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…d939backed Penguins | 35c | 1,209$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Devils | 63c | 1,119$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.27 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils | 65c | 999.98$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.57 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…d41ebacked Penguins | 36c | 987$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…370bbacked Devils | 64c | 986.21$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Devils | 63c | 941.37$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.39 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Devils | 65c | 834.34$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.72 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Devils | 65c | 769.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Devils | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Penguins | 38c | 529.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Devils | 64c | 451.73$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.59 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b4…84ebbacked Penguins | 35c | 417.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Devils | 62c | 342.85$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.56 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Devils | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 58c | 302.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.86 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Devils | 64c | 300.39$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Devils | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Devils | 63c | 199.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc830…a7a5backed Devils | 65c | 176.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Penguins | 44c | 175.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Devils | 63c | 173.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Penguins | 35c | 156.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…48b3backed Devils | 65c | 154.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…5f5dbacked Penguins | 37c | 147.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Devils | 72c | 138.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d98…5ec8backed Devils | 66c | 137.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5716…d9ebbacked Penguins | 36c | 135.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…3655backed Devils | 66c | 130$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Devils | 66c | 125.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Penguins | 36c | 123$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Penguins | 51c | 118.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Penguins | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…9935backed Penguins | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…b454backed Devils | 64c | 103.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Devils | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c8…19d4backed Penguins | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Penguins | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…c258backed Devils | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Penguins | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Penguins | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…fa36backed Penguins | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…165dbacked Penguins | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc3…a8f2backed Devils | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d6…4909backed Penguins | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Devils | 56c | 99.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Devils | 65c | 99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ac…0ac3backed Penguins | 36c | 96.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…d148backed Devils | 66c | 91.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…d8ccbacked Devils | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Penguins | 36c | 87.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Devils | 65c | 86.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6eacbacked Devils | 64c | 85.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Devils | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…57c1backed Penguins | 36c | 83.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…61a8backed Devils | 65c | 83.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…0b16backed Penguins | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52c4…bee5backed Devils | 65c | 77.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Devils | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…0b99backed Penguins | 37c | 76.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…cecdbacked Penguins | 36c | 75.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…660cbacked Devils | 65c | 73.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…1ce4backed Devils | 65c | 72.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…c783backed Penguins | 37c | 71.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb72…fa52backed Devils | 65c | 69.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Penguins | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…d0b7backed Devils | 64c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…17e0backed Penguins | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…4049backed Devils | 65c | 64.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…4a9fbacked Devils | 66c | 64.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Penguins | 36c | 63.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Devils | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddda…328bbacked Devils | 64c | 61.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…ae49backed Devils | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Devils | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.