TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Jazz, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$465,781
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$502,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $465,781 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz30c82,121$24,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,291.133,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Hornets63c48,872$30,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,211.6729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Hornets63c46,914$29,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,366.5947848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Hornets68c45,005$30,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,401.5622458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Jazz41c25,097$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,400.1912938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Hornets78c16,173$12,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.828347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Jazz39c15,751$6,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,094.197647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets49c14,240$6,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,262.471,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Hornets52c13,756$7,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,602.696253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92da…18f3backed Hornets53c13,347$7,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,273.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ecf…a4a2backed Jazz47c10,994$5,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,167.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Jazz37c9,877$3,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,652.8266853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Hornets72c9,475$6,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.9422049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz37c8,775$3,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.651,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Hornets74c8,422$6,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.1230061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Hornets56c8,258$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,617.9725865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed8b…c0d1backed Jazz50c6,430$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,21510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bd…bbcabacked Hornets53c6,392$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…e75cbacked Hornets52c6,366$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Jazz44c6,240$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.5761345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz47c6,000$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.9596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Jazz34c5,888$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.129957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4759…ec88backed Hornets52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.248350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Jazz48c5,032$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.2329747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Hornets78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Jazz26c4,770$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.6926640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets63c4,550$2,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.1288053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Jazz47c4,335$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.4937734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz35c3,666$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.495,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Jazz50c3,528$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.484535.6%16 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz37c3,400$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.311,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jazz44c2,944$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.2962351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Hornets55c2,822$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.6417047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hornets74c2,674$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.731,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz20c2,646$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.0370640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz49c2,610$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.591,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x640b…3a60backed Jazz47c2,404$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jazz45c2,264$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.6173647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6b…c763backed Jazz48c2,204$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz45c2,195$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.941,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd1…aea3backed Jazz50c2,169$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Jazz36c2,152$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.0628341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd045…6d79backed Hornets52c2,151$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b1…362bbacked Hornets52c2,140$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf20…b01ebacked Hornets52c2,129$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7391…f8a7backed Jazz50c2,111$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f5…c52bbacked Jazz50c2,100$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…d8d2backed Jazz50c2,097$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc144…f626backed Jazz50c2,084$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Jazz52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2745…17b3backed Hornets48c1,997$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.441369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Jazz11c1,936$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9116838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz43c1,863$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.9961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz51c1,442$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.3777745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Hornets63c1,436$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.3279549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Hornets53c1,415$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.0929643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jazz43c1,365$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.4573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Hornets77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7127163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Jazz39c1,163$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.4920238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Jazz28c1,089$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4147229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jazz41c1,018$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.1387647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Jazz45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hornets58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Hornets54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9310541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c84…bacabacked Hornets79c863.29$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.291464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Hornets71c839.78$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7884957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3caa…4a0bbacked Hornets75c812.49$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.62161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Jazz28c749.71$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.436751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jazz43c697$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7157760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz3c685$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.658783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Hornets58c635.57$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.943852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Jazz43c536$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1650047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Jazz31c512.71$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1839843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68e…f46bbacked Hornets79c504.21$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.211855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11036434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Hornets80c493.74$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.194953.1%26 W · 23 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-25.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked Jazz48c463.42$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.442560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets47c459.99$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.885347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Jazz46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Jazz24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hornets50c403.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.331,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfe…9396backed Jazz50c392$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb537…7c97backed Hornets51c384.31$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Hornets52c356.44$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.0923554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Hornets74c346.76$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9129450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Jazz41c331$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Jazz31c317$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9125851.6%133 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Hornets68c314.68$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.74151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jazz43c300.24$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9275347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Jazz39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11724855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Hornets49c281.43$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5345743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Jazz41c271$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8673445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1af…d23bbacked Hornets80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010158.4%59 W · 42 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb3…e68cbacked Hornets60c247.42$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6735050.6%177 W · 173 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Jazz22c225$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Hornets54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.26358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jazz47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.