NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c5785d2aef56a2f65c38cbe4dbd7970bd94be35cd72edd59b36cd016d03eaf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $576,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $686,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $576,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Celtics | 65c | 63,842$41,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,344.81 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Grizzlies | 3c | 39,338$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.74 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Grizzlies | 33c | 27,221$8,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,954.82 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Celtics | 64c | 20,397$13,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,281.01 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 19,466$6,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,891.62 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 37c | 14,340$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,305.46 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 13,001$4,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760.93 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 11,456$4,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,115.77 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Celtics | 68c | 10,211$6,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.44 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 9,845$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.96 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Celtics | 65c | 9,500$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.93 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Celtics | 60c | 8,392$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.8 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 8,099$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.93 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 3c | 7,772$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.3 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Celtics | 56c | 6,328$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.53 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…5adbbacked Celtics | 63c | 6,124$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 35c | 5,478$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.64 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Celtics | 65c | 5,385$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.62 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Grizzlies | 3c | 5,325$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.82 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Celtics | 50c | 5,000$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 36c | 4,323$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.02 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 4,263$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.5 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Celtics | 66c | 4,088$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.95 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 37c | 3,856$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.69 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Grizzlies | 37c | 3,645$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.7 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Celtics | 66c | 3,596$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.75 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Grizzlies | 36c | 3,509$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.66 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 36c | 3,439$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.06 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Celtics | 65c | 3,222$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.84 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Celtics | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 0c | 2,992$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Celtics | 50c | 2,587$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Grizzlies | 36c | 2,500$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.49 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,450$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Celtics | 55c | 2,408$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.51 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 63c | 2,358$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.51 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 30c | 2,259$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.54 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 35c | 2,163$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.25 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 2,150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 2,112$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.07 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 39c | 2,000$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Celtics | 75c | 2,000$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Grizzlies | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Celtics | 54c | 1,904$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.96 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Grizzlies | 23c | 1,886$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.61 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Celtics | 63c | 1,866$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.97 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Celtics | 65c | 1,850$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.5 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Celtics | 76c | 1,802$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.83 | 177 | 69.5%123 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…4881backed Celtics | 66c | 1,721$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Celtics | 60c | 1,669$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.66 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Celtics | 60c | 1,664$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.81 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Grizzlies | 41c | 1,644$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…9e23backed Grizzlies | 42c | 1,542$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.72 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 74c | 1,505$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.33 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 63c | 1,469$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.41 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Celtics | 63c | 1,453$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.61 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Grizzlies | 23c | 1,443$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.05 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Grizzlies | 33c | 1,263$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.79 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Celtics | 61c | 1,253$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.75 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Celtics | 56c | 1,252$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.79 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Grizzlies | 33c | 1,217$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.41 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x105e…4741backed Grizzlies | 4c | 1,180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Celtics | 65c | 1,154$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.85 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Celtics | 64c | 1,001$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.52 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Celtics | 62c | 989$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.01 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Grizzlies | 37c | 910.39$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.84 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Celtics | 68c | 812.44$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.11 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Celtics | 62c | 810$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Celtics | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Celtics | 62c | 781.25$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.88 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Celtics | 66c | 761.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.42 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Celtics | 57c | 760$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.6 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 36c | 734.41$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.66 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…9e96backed Celtics | 77c | 648.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Grizzlies | 35c | 634.29$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Celtics | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Grizzlies | 34c | 604.14$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.84 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 579.17$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.88 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Celtics | 62c | 574.57$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Grizzlies | 34c | 573.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Celtics | 53c | 570.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.51 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Celtics | 79c | 560$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Grizzlies | 36c | 540.19$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…43a5backed Celtics | 65c | 528.18$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.35 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Celtics | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Celtics | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Grizzlies | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Celtics | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Celtics | 66c | 466$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.51 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 455.15$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.17 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Grizzlies | 36c | 434.01$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Celtics | 64c | 399.95$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Celtics | 63c | 397$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Celtics | 79c | 372.24$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.