NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf629182e166f4bd63e27543958156fa41bde77d55bd2e165c79c78d07f250879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Wizards | 9c | 15,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Wizards | 9c | 13,539$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.55 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 2c | 13,431$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.43 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 10c | 10,062$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.41 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wizards | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Wizards | 9c | 8,600$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 2c | 8,051$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wizards | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…b360backed Wizards | 3c | 3,397$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 1c | 3,284$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.95 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Wizards | 9c | 2,847$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Wizards | 1c | 2,576$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wizards | 5c | 1,547$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Wizards | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Wizards | 2c | 1,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 5c | 1,438$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Wizards | 1c | 1,322$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…5c4cbacked Wizards | 2c | 1,300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Wizards | 4c | 1,244$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 12c | 1,242$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Wizards | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Wizards | 11c | 1,098$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Wizards | 3c | 1,085$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 12c | 1,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Wizards | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…25b8backed Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wizards | 10c | 967.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Wizards | 9c | 920.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 6c | 903$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Wizards | 7c | 820$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…a688backed Wizards | 10c | 760$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x649c…6e4fbacked Wizards | 4c | 750$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…4ad6backed Wizards | 10c | 730$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Wizards | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Wizards | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…a18bbacked Wizards | 12c | 537.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…e5a9backed Wizards | 12c | 499.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…ca79backed Wizards | 3c | 490$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…3251backed Wizards | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Wizards | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Wizards | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…59a2backed Wizards | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…0ae2backed Wizards | 9c | 355.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…61acbacked Wizards | 12c | 229.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Wizards | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Wizards | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…541dbacked Wizards | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Wizards | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Wizards | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95e…6096backed Wizards | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Wizards | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Wizards | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…a806backed Wizards | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Wizards | 8c | 189.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 352 | 35.2%124 W · 228 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…79a3backed Wizards | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c5…6b1fbacked Wizards | 12c | 162.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…7c1dbacked Wizards | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…a9bfbacked Wizards | 12c | 155.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Wizards | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea3…81d6backed Wizards | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Wizards | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Wizards | 10c | 149.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Wizards | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…3dbfbacked Wizards | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…459fbacked Wizards | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…b720backed Wizards | 31c | 127.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Wizards | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…f9adbacked Wizards | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec88…554bbacked Wizards | 12c | 122.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…681ebacked Wizards | 12c | 121.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Wizards | 12c | 116.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…634dbacked Wizards | 12c | 115.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…4a8dbacked Wizards | 12c | 113.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…4d8fbacked Wizards | 12c | 111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…fc24backed Wizards | 12c | 108.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa618…e3f2backed Wizards | 12c | 107.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc83b…998dbacked Wizards | 12c | 107.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…80dabacked Wizards | 12c | 105.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8411…550ebacked Wizards | 12c | 103.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…58a1backed Wizards | 11c | 103.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…5e9cbacked Wizards | 10c | 102.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…2f93backed Wizards | 12c | 100.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…ef41backed Wizards | 12c | 100.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04aa…d2d2backed Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…c4bdbacked Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Wizards | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…ff34backed Wizards | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…dc83backed Wizards | 12c | 99.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d0…50bbbacked Wizards | 12c | 89.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c7…4531backed Wizards | 12c | 86.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c02…b4d4backed Magic | 66c | 57.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 336 | 39%131 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Magic | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.