TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Penguins vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Penguins, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Penguins33c16,560$5,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,439.5936242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Blues67c8,888$5,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,933.0331546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Penguins33c5,022$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.8710658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Blues66c3,282$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.3527958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa201…ab01backed Penguins32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Blues68c1,803$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.7749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed Blues68c1,765$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.65922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-60%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues66c1,656$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.143,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Blues68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6760…2e12backed Penguins32c1,497$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.031241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95fd…597dbacked Blues67c1,492$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.49850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ff…6c51backed Blues68c1,428$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.962045%9 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blues67c1,424$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.871,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Penguins11c1,164$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues67c1,103$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.641,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Blues68c1,010$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.230549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012c…c821backed Blues68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blues54c989.48$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.761,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Penguins32c948.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4437738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Penguins56c895.61$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff1f…d5dfbacked Penguins32c881$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.921442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014a…8aefbacked Blues68c881$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.921030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Blues67c850.75$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.751866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Blues69c803.87$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8723761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Blues68c796.58$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9831753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Penguins33c757.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ab6…a5edbacked Penguins32c750$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Blues66c636.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5813756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6571…9827backed Penguins32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8d…d880backed Penguins14c583.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.172254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Penguins37c472.05$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0441340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blues67c401.28$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8df…a53dbacked Penguins32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Blues67c340$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.29064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Blues68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9650857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85a7…10d6backed Blues46c300$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1633729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Penguins32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9650049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Penguins32c285.01$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5920649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Blues69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.397256.9%41 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins15c200.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Blues55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Penguins52c190.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e3…b95ebacked Penguins57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf1c…b61bbacked Penguins24c167.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Blues68c155.88$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.882669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea29…0b0bbacked Penguins33c149.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Blues67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2530946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Blues67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.259149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Blues68c147.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.487071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Blues80c136.44$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.679863.3%62 W · 36 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x991e…aa2cbacked Penguins34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Blues68c117.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6528853.1%153 W · 135 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Blues69c105.8$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.88870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c42…9ce3backed Blues68c104.72$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6a…8dc5backed Penguins34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Blues68c101$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6166951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Penguins32c100.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0315730.6%48 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c37…9e0cbacked Penguins34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-55%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d03…4366backed Blues67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x981a…f343backed Penguins32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed0…b1b8backed Blues68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+116.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Blues67c99.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9910546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Blues69c99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6920861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Penguins49c98.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2217448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6072…fb46backed Blues66c95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.35954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Penguins31c94.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3928440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Blues67c93.95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7511751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25b6…4da6backed Blues69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.961172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc550…bd03backed Blues68c86.76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6218…676bbacked Blues67c82.09$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.09955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Blues47c79.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0110127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Penguins33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bd5…92dbbacked Penguins34c75.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f10…bf5abacked Penguins40c74.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6901…d7b5backed Blues69c74.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa581…b0bcbacked Blues69c72.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec1…3099backed Blues69c70.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66f8…7640backed Penguins33c70.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…a47abacked Penguins34c67.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d50…40acbacked Blues69c66.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b40…2aa0backed Blues69c66.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50bc…61acbacked Penguins34c66.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabee…a726backed Blues67c63.66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fec…70f9backed Penguins16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104425%11 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500a…a800backed Blues68c59.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.096558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4db1…4adcbacked Blues67c52.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.24366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Blues69c52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1239757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Blues77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9511365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd794…ee70backed Penguins33c51.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.921060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Blues69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.526059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Blues66c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.360549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4429…2e4dbacked Blues68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.128669.8%60 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df0…1eacbacked Penguins34c41.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3498…1533backed Blues51c38.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.683959%23 W · 16 L+8.2wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+46%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Blues68c37.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.051,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2006…39a0backed Penguins33c31.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-44.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1ee…b078backed Blues67c29.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6614156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.