TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Florida win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,375 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes51c6,188$3,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.844045%18 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes50c4,990$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes70c4,575$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.982759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No46c4,285$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.057936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No35c3,056$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.7942948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No23c2,794$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.69560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+75.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No38c2,195$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.489833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No26c2,001$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.41369.6%13 W · 123 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007021.4%15 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b3e…662cbacked No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Yes55c1,582$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.310236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked No13c1,513$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.77468.7%4 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Yes12c1,500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+98.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No25c1,400$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed No76c1,309$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.014522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-56.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes73c1,250$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.562770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes64c1,200$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.061,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked No51c1,000$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053215.6%5 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-52.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes52c966.95$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.951861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed No50c850$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No34c770.65$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.413936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No2c600$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6329012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14b…b944backed No46c583.74$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.723943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes55c557.26$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.21747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed No22c421$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.991811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+97.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x213e…cd72backed Yes55c385$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.251833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No45c302.36$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6230649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb18…6ed0backed No36c277.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.261457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bed…f347backed Yes57c243.75$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.641643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdef7…4fd2backed Yes68c221.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.51376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+59.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No16c151.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245332.1%17 W · 36 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+66.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe2e…1e4abacked No47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0004…4a07backed Yes53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…6c3dbacked No47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27bc…d1b5backed Yes53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…22e8backed No34c145.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.322470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.08683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+115.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes55c121.34$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9413456.7%76 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No16c110$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.663993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e32…e77abacked No48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes56c102$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.883748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c54…cc1ebacked Yes54c100.1$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.05887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac3…f172backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…872cbacked No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb4…1ddfbacked No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e3…4749backed No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd387…5125backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb419…423cbacked Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b19…67c1backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d7…42cabacked No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e3…ad70backed No51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-85.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9118…e9dabacked No42c97.94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.131915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-46.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed No44c92.84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.285543.6%24 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5765…722bbacked Yes53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb23…2bf4backed No47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes74c87.34$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.042958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x743f…1816backed No47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57c…6281backed Yes53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bad…9310backed Yes53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f98…ef5ebacked No47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe383…1d2ebacked Yes53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993c…2db0backed Yes53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca4…5d9fbacked No47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…c616backed No47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b8…6ff2backed Yes52c79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb016…68f4backed No48c79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes49c72.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.871154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c0c…a64bbacked Yes54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f51…5933backed No46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x326a…1f17backed Yes53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6446…9933backed No47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…09e3backed Yes53c65.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x837d…49a2backed No47c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x799c…37f7backed Yes53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1f…5ac4backed No47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65f4…f401backed No47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x911c…624abacked No47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3086…e751backed Yes53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe415…92e7backed Yes53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9121…5cc2backed Yes52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e31…2130backed No47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a82…35aebacked No47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7274…8b96backed Yes53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fac…42febacked Yes52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d2…29dfbacked Yes53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x518e…93dcbacked No47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727e…f5efbacked No48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc78b…d768backed Yes53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d96…4046backed Yes53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e3…5f7bbacked Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a6…eb6bbacked No46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6a…dc5ebacked No47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…0ad8backed No47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd744…5d21backed Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd7e…f967backed Yes53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9074…b78fbacked Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6807…7bddbacked No46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd713…4662backed No35c47.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.661827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdac8…04f9backed Yes53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.