TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Maryland win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,912 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x213e…cd72backed Yes9c1,835$170 inLost-$169.751833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes8c1,436$119 inLost-$119.061369.6%13 W · 123 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes11c982$110 inLost-$109.649833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa161…86fdbacked Yes9c899.09$85 inLost-$8530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes8c780$63 inLost-$63.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1615…a6afbacked Yes9c769$69 inLost-$69.012751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb5f…0848backed Yes9c500$45 inLost-$451838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes10c395.4$41 inLost-$40.59468.7%4 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes9c337$30 inLost-$30.334522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-56.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes11c203.71$22 inLost-$22.457936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes12c201$24 inLost-$24.121,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5638…224dbacked Yes11c108$12 inLost-$11.881758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.