NBA · resolved market
Will the Washington Wizards finish with the worst regular season record?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfcd2e2eb82af46f1b3bda80faad6d825cbce88b6868d8de24e6d2d03a53d6e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc130…1bb6backed No | 16c | 60,125$9,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,505 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 18c | 1,802$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.62 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked No | 66c | 1,650$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 28c | 919.98$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.8 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 18c | 571.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 54c | 448.97$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.92 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 36c | 211.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 53c | 129.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 68c | 94.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 58c | 79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 51c | 77.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 69c | 62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 54.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 66c | 44.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 36c | 30.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…90d0backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Washington Wizards finish with the worst regular season record?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Miami Heat finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors finish with the worst regular season record?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz finish with the worst regular season record?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.