Fifa International · resolved market
Will Italy win on 2025-09-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x999c696edc9d63419d48164a6094711c78d4dcde8738dadbe036c512e59cba42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 9,126$6,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.94 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 29c | 7,485$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.62 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 29c | 6,296$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.02 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 71c | 4,242$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.48 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 30c | 3,535$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.5 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 72c | 3,509$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.53 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 30c | 2,880$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Yes | 70c | 2,828$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 30c | 2,521$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.29 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 28c | 2,471$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Yes | 69c | 1,989$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 28c | 1,915$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.08 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 34c | 1,893$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.22 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 29c | 1,500$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.97 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…b6b1backed Yes | 66c | 1,241$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 30c | 1,197$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 32c | 1,085$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.92 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 39c | 939.42$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.73 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 54c | 921$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.16 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…fedcbacked Yes | 70c | 839$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed No | 46c | 803.5$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 39c | 795.89$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.93 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…c7c7backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…6877backed Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 72c | 690.14$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 63c | 633.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 31c | 611$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 31c | 600.12$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 62c | 532.47$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…97e5backed Yes | 63c | 476.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.73 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 424.93$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 24c | 386$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 58c | 384$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.15 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Yes | 69c | 333$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 30c | 331.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Yes | 71c | 324.69$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x937b…07ddbacked Yes | 70c | 316.89$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 53c | 314.38$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 66c | 311.04$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Yes | 70c | 272.41$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb2…76f2backed Yes | 74c | 269.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…b219backed Yes | 70c | 261.43$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 69c | 256.52$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed Yes | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 29c | 215$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 70c | 211$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Yes | 71c | 210.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 71c | 197.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 29c | 160.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 30c | 159.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 71c | 155.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 72c | 154.17$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Yes | 69c | 150.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…15c5backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 71c | 143.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 71c | 140.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273a…6d54backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 43c | 140$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…d761backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…e043backed Yes | 72c | 133.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 30c | 131.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 76c | 122.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 37c | 120.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 31c | 118$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 76c | 117.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a21…0229backed Yes | 72c | 112.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 39c | 103.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c6…fb6abacked Yes | 70c | 103.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 62c | 99.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 19c | 94.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 70c | 83.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked Yes | 69c | 83.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy win on 2025-09-08?this page
- Will Israel vs. Italy end in a draw?No won
- Will Israel win on 2025-09-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.