Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfdc9d52335663c33f1cc05b95a7878b3a4b4469b4568c665e2d7adc837484b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 1c | 10,567$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…2095backed Yes | 58c | 5,120$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.93 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe13…8b9cbacked Yes | 54c | 4,407$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.26 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524d…4495backed No | 37c | 3,768$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.63 | 161 | 22.4%36 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 48c | 3,684$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.95 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 40c | 3,473$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.4 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 57c | 3,363$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.43 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…c676backed No | 71c | 3,344$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.2 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 43c | 3,249$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.14 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…6558backed Yes | 52c | 2,981$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.91 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 47c | 2,958$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.37 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 2,374$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.84 | 245 | 24.9%61 W · 184 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 44c | 2,277$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.83 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 35c | 2,156$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.05 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked No | 46c | 1,964$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.81 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 19c | 1,800$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 58c | 1,546$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.2 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,526$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d22ebacked No | 67c | 1,499$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 62c | 1,407$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.56 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 2c | 1,400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c5…e133backed Yes | 61c | 1,387$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.66 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 52c | 1,357$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.79 | 563 | 29.8%168 W · 395 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 50c | 1,351$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.5 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 28c | 1,228$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.27 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 40c | 1,151$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.79 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 50c | 1,147$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.18 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Yes | 64c | 1,015$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.47 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 68c | 999.99$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.11 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 48c | 941.66$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.79 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 906.97$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.88 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 43c | 900$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.8 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 42c | 896.21$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.38 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 44c | 885.76$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.71 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 55c | 855$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.08 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 49c | 835.33$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.77 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 49c | 830.04$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.66 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 50c | 807.78$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.21 | 219 | 59.8%131 W · 88 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 27c | 793.64$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.52 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 39c | 761.19$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.67 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…4c7cbacked Yes | 46c | 758.47$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.01 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 737$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.21 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed No | 38c | 706.37$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.93 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked Yes | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed Yes | 33c | 692.96$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.89 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…6dddbacked Yes | 6c | 659.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 594.34$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.15 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 44c | 589.47$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.95 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 48c | 566.01$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.18 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 41c | 551.66$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.15 | 405 | 19.8%80 W · 325 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 37c | 545.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.57 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2041backed Yes | 52c | 521.96$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.36 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…0261backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 31%61 W · 136 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc1…0a06backed Yes | 12c | 475.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3949…4c45backed Yes | 51c | 471$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.94 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 39c | 466.77$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.35 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 65c | 452.85$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.97 | 386 | 48.2%186 W · 200 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14db…7cafbacked No | 24c | 417.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…146cbacked Yes | 63c | 411.09$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.92 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…c358backed Yes | 38c | 408.59$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.06 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 68c | 399.99$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.99 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26a…732cbacked Yes | 41c | 399.12$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…75a0backed Yes | 36c | 380$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 17c | 379.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 76c | 353.64$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 48c | 337.83$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.01 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes | 53c | 336.7$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 198 | 19.7%39 W · 159 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…450abacked Yes | 38c | 324.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.39 | 312 | 17.3%54 W · 258 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 36c | 323.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.13 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 30c | 315.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.19 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 13c | 315.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 797 | 11.3%90 W · 707 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 41c | 312.64$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.75 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 161 | 10.6%17 W · 144 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 45c | 300$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed Yes | 57c | 300$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 290$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 55c | 286.66$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.85 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 37c | 277.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 29c | 270.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 23c | 270$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 5c | 268.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…5aebbacked Yes | 77c | 266.45$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 58c | 243.89$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…bc44backed Yes | 77c | 227.26$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes | 34c | 220$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 67c | 215.84$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked No | 56c | 211.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…ccdbbacked Yes | 31c | 209.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes | 50c | 207$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 210 | 34.8%73 W · 137 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac4…1819backed Yes | 58c | 205.71$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 53c | 201.31$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…85adbacked Yes | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…1a08backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544a…dbe1backed No | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 43c | 199.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 39c | 198.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.