AI · resolved market
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb48ba203f61a59f742a72802ffb64591953f6aeb98c452e79d8530d058e0fdcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2deb…9e9abacked Yes | 19c | 2,186$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…a399backed Yes | 57c | 1,402$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfd…ccc8backed Yes | 67c | 1,208$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 42c | 566.41$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.17 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 33c | 557$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.04 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 12c | 534.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.15 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 70c | 472.12$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.02 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 31c | 379.48$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 258.44$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 45c | 255.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 50c | 246.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 36c | 245.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 77c | 235$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.13 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 49c | 198$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 55c | 184.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 80c | 172.08$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 45c | 157.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 58c | 151.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 41c | 137.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 47c | 137.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 72c | 135$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 42c | 126.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 50c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 56c | 101.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 45c | 92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5195…44ebbacked Yes | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 29c | 80.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…f20fbacked No | 69c | 79.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 41c | 74.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 69c | 62.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 60c | 58.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeced…c598backed No | 61c | 53.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 54c | 50.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7feabacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1620backed No | 68c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 46c | 44.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 64c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 69c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 69c | 40.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb51a…67aabacked No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 39c | 28.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 59c | 20.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 51c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…22bcbacked Yes | 71c | 17.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…8e07backed No | 70c | 16.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?this page
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.