AI · resolved market
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc61d4ada5965cac6df6dc1be724eb19f3cd65ded777cbf1667bf493a05da379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2deb…9e9abacked Yes | 41c | 2,480$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 29c | 1,865$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.97 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfd…ccc8backed Yes | 48c | 1,820$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,515$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.93 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 31c | 1,407$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.56 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 1,123$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.01 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 744.05$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 53c | 718.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.25 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…aaf9backed No | 57c | 700$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…eb78backed Yes | 26c | 559.82$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 521$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.3 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 66c | 518.3$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.43 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 62c | 514.28$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.33 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…a399backed No | 67c | 384.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 283.56$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 72c | 260.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 37c | 245.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 47c | 234.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 54c | 228.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.83 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 65c | 224.68$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 57c | 184.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 65c | 178.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 50c | 176.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 32c | 172.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d49…4f7cbacked Yes | 57c | 166.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 63c | 159.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 57c | 158$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 61c | 156$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 38c | 130.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 39c | 128$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 77c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 36c | 119$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…94edbacked Yes | 53c | 113.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 113$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 46c | 109.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 106.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 74c | 106$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 53c | 103.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 55c | 101$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…15c8backed Yes | 19c | 100.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…052abacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8a…f6a4backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 53c | 99.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 32c | 93.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 37c | 91.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 49c | 89.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5195…44ebbacked Yes | 18c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 71c | 83.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed Yes | 16c | 80.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa352…dd3cbacked Yes | 77c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 61c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…f20fbacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…d3ddbacked Yes | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 53c | 63.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed Yes | 30c | 51.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 33c | 50.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…fd3cbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -11.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4460…54d1backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 24c | 47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed No | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 36c | 43.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…01f2backed Yes | 34c | 42.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cc…3097backed Yes | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Yes | 32c | 40.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 74c | 40.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…b4bbbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…3428backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…a874backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…d0e5backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 70c | 38.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 68c | 36.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 64c | 33.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 41c | 31.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 39c | 29.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 74c | 26.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…22bcbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…4b4bbacked Yes | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…6413backed No | 64c | 19.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 64c | 19.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 57c | 18.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 67c | 17.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…8e07backed No | 64c | 16.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 16.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?this page
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.00 and $3.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.