Ukraine · resolved market
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b9cb185cdce777a6c782516fd9f322a17e6ce53c5049397282b535ed21bdeb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 0c | 23,121$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 1c | 12,252$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,459$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 10c | 6,340$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.22 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 5c | 5,470$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.32 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…02d6backed Yes | 1c | 4,663$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 5c | 4,600$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 3,844$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 5c | 3,808$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.34 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bb97backed Yes | 17c | 3,445$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,437$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.87 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,639$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.12 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 7c | 2,567$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc476…9c40backed Yes | 9c | 2,115$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…f3bcbacked Yes | 8c | 2,088$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…2234backed Yes | 6c | 1,823$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 9c | 1,482$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 11c | 1,232$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.44 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fa…e8c8backed Yes | 1c | 1,228$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…102fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,011$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 898.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…35c9backed Yes | 2c | 635.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 11c | 563.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…283abacked Yes | 15c | 550.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 13c | 541.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…e72ebacked Yes | 18c | 524.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 5c | 432.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 11c | 399$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4666…c42fbacked Yes | 11c | 376.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 14c | 364.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2c98backed Yes | 13c | 360$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf546…1254backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 14c | 328.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…9f4bbacked Yes | 11c | 298.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c22…9b23backed Yes | 13c | 296.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…5666backed Yes | 13c | 281.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 15c | 229.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…cf68backed Yes | 10c | 192.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd33…8431backed Yes | 6c | 189.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…e7dbbacked Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes | 11c | 168.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…0d48backed Yes | 13c | 161.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 13c | 157.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…f611backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853b…eff5backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38e…272bbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…8db2backed Yes | 9c | 120.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…455dbacked Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3c…e5dcbacked Yes | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c71…776abacked Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 13c | 103.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…7aecbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2539…71a2backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…1f33backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 78c | 93.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…3652backed Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.