TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Earnings · resolved market

Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,784 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Earnings
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc686…0630backed No16c3,028$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ce…cfa6backed Yes69c1,571$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab7…18a5backed No33c1,508$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes78c1,155$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.076867.6%46 W · 22 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x91cb…35e8backed No44c1,146$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab9…8886backed No34c1,019$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…4f31backed No25c906.95$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.5435635.1%125 W · 231 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf44…4d45backed Yes78c787.46$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.271478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06ce…5fa8backed No16c712.42$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.68333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac20…3973backed Yes67c711.36$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.54633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-53.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b8…d3ebbacked No12c606.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86ce…c78bbacked No23c592.31$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfce…80c7backed No13c544.72$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8834437.2%128 W · 216 L+22.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed No12c432.82$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.099247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2552…c45ebacked No21c402.64$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5355…101abacked No42c346.86$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7750%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes62c342.5$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3976137.6%286 W · 475 L+35.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x714e…68a0backed No18c340.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eae…5e6dbacked Yes75c307$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.47875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No37c306.8$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd98e…3c54backed Yes78c304.84$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.841233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22512%3 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+113.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe56…fc05backed No32c289.72$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes80c247.38$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.416725.4%17 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No12c219.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4946314.3%66 W · 397 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fe…9878backed No30c218.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d3…90d4backed No37c203.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked No6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62a…37a5backed No24c190$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No11c182$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.373815.8%6 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…764fbacked Yes77c171.59$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99ba…6391backed No18c164.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.931050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbe…454fbacked No29c158.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed No22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.310740.2%43 W · 64 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fa4…4eabbacked No15c133.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed No22c129.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+251.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4646…04d9backed No20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b3…83bcbacked No36c122.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No15c122.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.075612.5%7 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fd3…0b59backed No20c113$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No21c111.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242010%2 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick29cpaid-83.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb520…23e3backed No37c108.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e91…6c3abacked No20c108$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae01…0c40backed No13c106.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f1…790bbacked Yes66c106.14$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.094139%16 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a81…c57fbacked No10c105$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e84…3b9cbacked No20c102$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7174…01f3backed No20c101$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9175…8ba5backed No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4de…e96dbacked No20c96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0275…b936backed No12c92.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe5…91aabacked No12c90.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fe2…be37backed No20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcae…80ebbacked No20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd5…3187backed No20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7985…4801backed No20c87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…b3cabacked Yes30c82.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4040…6ce7backed Yes71c77.74$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes70c75.71$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.416952.2%36 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcea8…1f9fbacked No29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e71…9eadbacked Yes65c63.79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+105.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ef…fee6backed Yes80c62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe871…b19bbacked Yes76c55.55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9e…e1b5backed Yes80c54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.12055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0e…4419backed No48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418751.3%96 W · 91 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0065…0c66backed Yes80c44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8032…b106backed Yes80c44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6df…7efebacked Yes80c42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9227…28febacked Yes80c42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Yes66c40.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.62580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdab6…60a9backed Yes80c39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a84…cde2backed Yes80c34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…e420backed Yes80c34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40c8…9322backed Yes80c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c4…2e42backed Yes80c32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…a9bfbacked Yes80c31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…0391backed Yes80c31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…8401backed Yes80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x848c…6345backed Yes80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…8150backed Yes80c27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1029…9b36backed Yes61c26.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb9…1eccbacked Yes80c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff58…26c2backed Yes80c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec8…a75dbacked Yes80c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2526…9f68backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd95c…c18ebacked Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…f82bbacked Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1c…9467backed Yes80c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Yes80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b46…6381backed Yes80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8568…af50backed Yes80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ec…c9ecbacked Yes80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6aa…941dbacked Yes80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9c…8d6ebacked Yes80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ed…6acdbacked Yes80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff4…4ccfbacked Yes80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes79c15.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.213100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…6aa9backed Yes78c15.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.