TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will Anyone's Legend qualify to MSI 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,381 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b23…0d60backed No64c1,851$1,185 inWon+$666.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb86e…e0ecbacked No51c1,227$626 inWon+$601.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd008…e9dbbacked Yes49c998$489 inLost-$489.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce55…1796backed Yes49c955$468 inLost-$467.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked Yes36c927$334 inLost-$333.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf51b…bf74backed Yes36c924$333 inLost-$332.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f6…ea40backed No65c857$557 inWon+$299.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5bc…2ad5backed Yes35c857$300 inLost-$299.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd22a…ac22backed Yes32c806$258 inLost-$257.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a79…1ccbbacked No68c795$541 inWon+$254.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5243…a73cbacked No68c793$539 inWon+$253.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed Yes32c782$250 inLost-$250.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1639…e706backed No51c726$370 inWon+$355.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…0bffbacked Yes32c478.97$153 inLost-$152.9222532.4%73 W · 152 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d9d…a002backed Yes49c399$196 inLost-$195.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2950…ffeabacked No51c399$203 inWon+$195.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked No69c171$118 inWon+$53.2261256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…6e94backed Yes25c108.68$27 inLost-$274936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed No78c107.06$83 inWon+$23.6947047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7eb…28d6backed No66c101.52$67 inWon+$34.521450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No70c80$56 inWon+$241172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed No16c75$12 inWon+$63922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick13cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No66c65.71$44 inWon+$22.26839.7%27 W · 41 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30fe…74bcbacked Yes39c57.33$22 inLost-$22.187146.5%33 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes32c55$17 inLost-$17.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes47c50$24 inLost-$23.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No53c50$27 inWon+$23.51764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+59.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.