CS2 · resolved market
Will B8 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf94e27882677f1090b7ce7067647e3b8995b93231e4f280679efdaeb986878ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Yes | 54c | 10,249$5,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,707.36 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 46c | 8,469$3,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,883.83 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked Yes | 44c | 950.92$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.69 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 55c | 926.27$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.45 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…19c3backed Yes | 25c | 696.67$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.42 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 61c | 680.48$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.75 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed No | 76c | 549.49$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.61 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed No | 45c | 524.09$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed Yes | 23c | 509.3$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.16 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…cce8backed No | 56c | 500$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.78 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…ed6ebacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 22c | 450$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cb…2badbacked No | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.94 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 44c | 233.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 59c | 211$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 55c | 129.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…0388backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 56c | 112$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Yes | 22c | 105$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 73c | 103.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…2ac7backed No | 73c | 103.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b3…a386backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 46c | 94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 22c | 91.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yes | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 60c | 89.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 34c | 76.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 55c | 71.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…020bbacked Yes | 45c | 69.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Yes | 30c | 65.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…780bbacked No | 46c | 64.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 51c | 63.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked No | 64c | 54.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 33c | 50.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 75c | 43.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…c484backed Yes | 36c | 41.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414e…144ebacked No | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…c11fbacked Yes | 49c | 34.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed No | 55c | 26.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 59c | 23.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…8a50backed Yes | 56c | 23.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 56c | 19.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will B8 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?this page
- Will 9z qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will Astralis qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will BIG qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will BetBoom qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will FUT qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will G2 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will GamerLegion qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Legacy qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will MIBR qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Monte qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will Spirit qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will paiN qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.