CS2 · resolved market
Will Astralis qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc22f64984e6c487ee1ee6155405e303886942070cdf4943b9f6fd7cf496d2b3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 65c | 848.37$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.64 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…2ac7backed No | 50c | 448.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.86 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 50c | 305.84$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 25c | 300$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…3950backed No | 17c | 287.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed No | 75c | 160.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 40c | 140$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 36c | 134.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 15c | 126.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 66c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 29c | 115.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 58c | 102.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb92…a82fbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…60d2backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed Yes | 34c | 59.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…020bbacked Yes | 58c | 57.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 75c | 55.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked No | 52c | 29.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 73c | 26.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Astralis qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?this page
- Will 9z qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will B8 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will BIG qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will BetBoom qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will FUT qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will G2 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will GamerLegion qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Legacy qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will MIBR qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Monte qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will Spirit qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will paiN qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.