CS2 · resolved market
Will FUT qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d5d22eea6fe1feeb9ac70ed07a93a4fc8b57425701c96f033cb4a107b367862
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 35c | 1,111$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.84 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…629fbacked No | 37c | 1,000$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 63c | 892.18$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.11 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…60d2backed No | 8c | 380$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 305$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 34c | 179.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…e458backed No | 34c | 179.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Yes | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…6cf8backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 91.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…020bbacked Yes | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…22e6backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FUT qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?this page
- Will 9z qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will Astralis qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will B8 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will BIG qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will BetBoom qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will G2 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will GamerLegion qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Legacy qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will MIBR qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
- Will Monte qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will Spirit qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes won
- Will paiN qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.