AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6ece0cadb3d3d87bd47ac065722bf75521e904274870da03e164d719ea2c14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb263…6484backed No | 15c | 2,576$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…f295backed No | 24c | 2,203$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 75c | 2,122$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.48 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 47c | 1,965$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.23 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c55…4120backed No | 37c | 1,532$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3466…ea7abacked Yes | 69c | 1,442$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.86 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…f5bbbacked No | 31c | 1,244$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.33 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 17c | 1,239$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.9 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 75c | 1,011$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.65 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 18c | 919.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.94 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 34c | 871.12$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.67 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed Yes | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 31c | 742.18$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.37 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…b632backed Yes | 71c | 704.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 32c | 690.98$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.54 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 80c | 672.68$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 80c | 610.82$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 19c | 523$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed Yes | 79c | 508.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0d…5ee0backed No | 47c | 478.72$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 15c | 424.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 70c | 404.15$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 79c | 378.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 75c | 338.89$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 11c | 306$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked No | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 32c | 289$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 27c | 285$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 8c | 277$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…9501backed Yes | 77c | 251$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…0059backed Yes | 65c | 228.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Yes | 54c | 225$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…a1ecbacked No | 46c | 225$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 34c | 221.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 17c | 219.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked No | 37c | 216.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 30c | 214.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 30c | 207$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 25c | 199.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 28c | 190.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 30c | 190$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 21c | 179$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 23c | 158.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 12c | 157.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 32c | 153.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed Yes | 59c | 152.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 24c | 143.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8b…27c3backed Yes | 77c | 138.49$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 13c | 135$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 30c | 132.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb79a…a203backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…a5b7backed No | 11c | 124.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…829fbacked Yes | 77c | 117.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…38d5backed No | 65c | 116.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 73c | 114.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…c0e9backed No | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…2640backed Yes | 66c | 83.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 14c | 77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…3e8ebacked Yes | 72c | 76.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 35c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…7bb2backed No | 19c | 62.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…b7abbacked No | 47c | 62.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Yes | 73c | 61.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 80 | 76.3%61 W · 19 L | +12.0wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Yes | 79c | 60.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…06e9backed Yes | 59c | 53.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 37c | 53.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 46c | 51.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…339ebacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…6ce0backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…fa7bbacked No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…4025backed Yes | 77c | 41.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 71c | 40.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…cd98backed Yes | 31c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…3e8bbacked Yes | 71c | 35.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed Yes | 63c | 24.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…6504backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…9b7bbacked Yes | 70c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.