College Football · resolved market
Pittsburgh vs. West Virginia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65f7bb9082a6c283ef8facf64a6befee0b033249cb3f1920724f41bf956b4b38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Virginiaof Pittsburgh, West Virginia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked West Virginia | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Pittsburgh | 67c | 15,000$9,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.45per pick | 54cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Pittsburgh | 72c | 13,555$9,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,759.6 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh | 68c | 10,341$7,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,031.19 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed West Virginia | 37c | 8,816$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,567.12 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed West Virginia | 52c | 6,074$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.78 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pittsburgh | 71c | 5,470$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.29 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed West Virginia | 36c | 4,624$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.61 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed West Virginia | 31c | 4,042$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.66 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked West Virginia | 35c | 3,387$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.77 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pittsburgh | 44c | 2,496$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.57 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked West Virginia | 54c | 2,380$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.55 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Pittsburgh | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked West Virginia | 43c | 1,900$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.91 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Pittsburgh | 48c | 1,285$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.34 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pittsburgh | 65c | 1,161$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.95 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh | 58c | 940$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.99 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed West Virginia | 37c | 904.15$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.6 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed West Virginia | 30c | 740$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed West Virginia | 27c | 700.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.64 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pittsburgh | 73c | 683$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.55 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked West Virginia | 27c | 600$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Pittsburgh | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed West Virginia | 55c | 577.35$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pittsburgh | 68c | 544.82$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.14 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed West Virginia | 40c | 535.7$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.61 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…df41backed Pittsburgh | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed West Virginia | 54c | 348.21$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.69 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Pittsburgh | 70c | 330$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Pittsburgh | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Pittsburgh | 72c | 257.38$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.31 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Pittsburgh | 61c | 210$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh | 71c | 188.89$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.88 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked West Virginia | 51c | 186.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.76 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed West Virginia | 29c | 174.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed West Virginia | 28c | 149.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Pittsburgh | 72c | 117.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked West Virginia | 26c | 102.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…d029backed Pittsburgh | 71c | 101.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed West Virginia | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked West Virginia | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…261bbacked Pittsburgh | 71c | 97.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed West Virginia | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pittsburgh | 72c | 88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked West Virginia | 28c | 76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked West Virginia | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked West Virginia | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Pittsburgh | 72c | 52.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Pittsburgh | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Pittsburgh | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Pittsburgh | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed Pittsburgh | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 73cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf3…527ebacked Pittsburgh | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed West Virginia | 59c | 26.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…541dbacked West Virginia | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Pittsburgh | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a4…c20fbacked Pittsburgh | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…2621backed Pittsburgh | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…4b84backed Pittsburgh | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked West Virginia | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…c839backed Pittsburgh | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7d…2db8backed Pittsburgh | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh vs. West Virginiathis page
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5)West Virginia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.