Fifa International · resolved market
Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-10-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10782e00b6398e19d20a83f3b23b1b2f3c41728b106c2874b75f339226a870ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 6c | 15,254$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.27 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 10c | 10,263$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.94 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 9c | 8,163$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.7 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 6,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 9c | 5,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.89 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 3,050$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 7c | 2,757$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 9c | 908.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes | 14c | 737.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 8c | 599.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Yes | 10c | 460.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 7c | 395.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 14c | 335.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed Yes | 9c | 325.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 10c | 257.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 13c | 229.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe745…61e8backed Yes | 9c | 220.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa570…8c4fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 14c | 199$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…66a3backed Yes | 8c | 185.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…b898backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 6c | 171.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…f488backed Yes | 9c | 156.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 11c | 154.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 149.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 52c | 131.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ae…7a7ebacked Yes | 10c | 102.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 41c | 74.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…6456backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-10-13?this page
- Will North Macedonia vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw?Yes won
- Will North Macedonia win on 2025-10-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.