College Football · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf98f4c10726b628c16f0271b490439159733351b0dea4c595688e3c3b2c6983
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Techof Utah, Texas Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas Tech | 51c | 1,602$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.98 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Utah | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Texas Tech | 54c | 637$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.02 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Utah | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Texas Tech | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Texas Tech | 56c | 533.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.87 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Utah | 48c | 384.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Texas Tech | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Utah | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Utah | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…b898backed Utah | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Texas Tech | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac0…b10abacked Utah | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Utah | 47c | 123.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Texas Tech | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…b9acbacked Utah | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Texas Tech | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Texas Tech | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…0d7dbacked Utah | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-3.5)this page
- Texas Tech vs. UtahTexas Tech won
- Texas Tech vs. Utah: O/U 57.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.