Middle East · resolved market
Will Netanyahu meet with Biden?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x715ace6e670f17c3cdee474e94bb751c95c56b56484d696837bbce435861b3b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 4c | 8,529$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.99 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x990f…7507backed No | 17c | 5,710$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 13c | 3,326$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.49 | 96 | 4.2%4 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…0a80backed No | 2c | 3,039$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f81…0a3bbacked Yes | 77c | 2,759$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…c0f8backed Yes | 78c | 2,662$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…db60backed No | 17c | 1,877$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…0a6ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,780$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.02 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…67e7backed No | 8c | 1,685$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 76c | 1,597$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…1444backed No | 23c | 1,515$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 28c | 1,382$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…de46backed No | 17c | 1,327$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.88 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…65adbacked Yes | 74c | 1,200$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 65c | 1,091$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.23 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…de01backed No | 5c | 1,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 31c | 895.5$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.39 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…edbebacked No | 29c | 797.9$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 13c | 791.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…237cbacked No | 32c | 786.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0003…857abacked Yes | 65c | 773.58$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…8abebacked No | 30c | 765$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 78c | 609.99$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.01 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked No | 35c | 577.56$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 5c | 569.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked No | 29c | 539.48$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65bb…1feebacked No | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d2…627cbacked No | 16c | 491.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…b53bbacked No | 30c | 400.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e7…d258backed No | 7c | 400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 20c | 355.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked No | 23c | 339.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 62c | 270$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8789…1da9backed No | 38c | 269.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 58c | 259.47$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…299bbacked No | 38c | 250$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…1ecdbacked No | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb202…1e15backed Yes | 65c | 250$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…eb7ebacked Yes | 67c | 246.3$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…b9efbacked No | 41c | 245.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1376…6f3cbacked No | 28c | 203.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…7ed0backed No | 10c | 200.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…cf6cbacked Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x715f…a096backed No | 36c | 194.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…b898backed No | 41c | 194.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…0ba7backed No | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked Yes | 77c | 175.11$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed No | 22c | 172.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…b3febacked No | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0582…90a7backed No | 24c | 144.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…2dd8backed No | 31c | 140$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821e…7478backed Yes | 73c | 136.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74de…46e9backed Yes | 79c | 120.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…b7cfbacked No | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…c670backed No | 38c | 105.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0651…5007backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ab…556bbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…b2ffbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b2…6fb8backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e0…46fcbacked No | 50c | 87.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f4…b633backed No | 28c | 86.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…b4c3backed Yes | 78c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 77c | 63.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…af1bbacked No | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…a3e8backed Yes | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c8…135cbacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d4…854ebacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…7fccbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…0b4bbacked Yes | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…7677backed No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…68c7backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…2612backed Yes | 75c | 39.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes | 58c | 35.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…21c1backed No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b0…ec9cbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7f…5b35backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b21…b951backed Yes | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 74c | 17.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…4ec0backed Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…895fbacked Yes | 70c | 14.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aca…d7d5backed Yes | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.