Tennis · resolved market
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08362f32b7c07ae52036466ec3eae8676fcc2f316a23c471b7e69380196b94b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiafoeof Tiafoe, Kovacevic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kovacevic | 42c | 16,359$6,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,815.55 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tiafoe | 55c | 14,969$8,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,721.07 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Kovacevic | 46c | 14,220$6,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,489.01 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tiafoe | 46c | 13,003$6,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,984.45 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tiafoe | 51c | 6,179$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.33 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tiafoe | 62c | 6,104$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.42 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Kovacevic | 46c | 4,608$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Tiafoe | 70c | 4,500$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.98 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…d06bbacked Kovacevic | 28c | 4,464$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kovacevic | 35c | 4,173$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kovacevic | 48c | 3,348$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.89 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Kovacevic | 35c | 3,008$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.53 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Kovacevic | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kovacevic | 55c | 2,645$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.58 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Tiafoe | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Kovacevic | 40c | 2,470$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Kovacevic | 47c | 2,194$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.08 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kovacevic | 38c | 2,134$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.18 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Tiafoe | 27c | 2,009$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.14 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Kovacevic | 58c | 1,747$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.92 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Kovacevic | 29c | 1,600$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.96 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Tiafoe | 62c | 1,106$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.73 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tiafoe | 53c | 1,005$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.91 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Kovacevic | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Tiafoe | 59c | 906.78$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.78 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Kovacevic | 19c | 894.44$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Tiafoe | 70c | 850.12$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.04 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Kovacevic | 75c | 845.52$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.14 | 82 | 62.2%51 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Kovacevic | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Kovacevic | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Tiafoe | 71c | 759.6$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.05 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kovacevic | 29c | 741.58$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.06 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kovacevic | 26c | 723.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.23 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tiafoe | 72c | 716.61$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Tiafoe | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…ed97backed Kovacevic | 2c | 698.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Kovacevic | 46c | 682.72$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.42 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kovacevic | 32c | 673.96$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kovacevic | 30c | 589.2$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Tiafoe | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Kovacevic | 30c | 562.26$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.68 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kovacevic | 40c | 559.76$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.31 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tiafoe | 70c | 545.37$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kovacevic | 23c | 527.09$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Tiafoe | 66c | 504.73$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.61 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Tiafoe | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Kovacevic | 30c | 480$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Tiafoe | 72c | 469.1$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 127 | 65.4%83 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Tiafoe | 78c | 429.29$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbb…3b4bbacked Kovacevic | 75c | 420.57$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.43 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Tiafoe | 62c | 419.27$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.32 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked Tiafoe | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Tiafoe | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Kovacevic | 78c | 351.43$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.17 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Tiafoe | 72c | 348.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Tiafoe | 80c | 344.28$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Kovacevic | 54c | 341$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.48 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Tiafoe | 64c | 340$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kovacevic | 30c | 338$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Tiafoe | 71c | 323.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Kovacevic | 49c | 309.81$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.29 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kovacevic | 31c | 284.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Tiafoe | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Tiafoe | 59c | 264.54$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Tiafoe | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tiafoe | 69c | 230.5$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tiafoe | 71c | 211.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kovacevic | 69c | 196$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.62 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Tiafoe | 66c | 193.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 248 | 52%129 W · 119 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…159cbacked Tiafoe | 39c | 190$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.3 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kovacevic | 44c | 189.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Tiafoe | 29c | 185.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kovacevic | 66c | 183.42$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.18 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Kovacevic | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Kovacevic | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…9a18backed Tiafoe | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…221fbacked Tiafoe | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tiafoe | 42c | 150.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…319bbacked Tiafoe | 65c | 146.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Tiafoe | 66c | 145.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Kovacevic | 30c | 144.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kovacevic | 18c | 144.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kovacevic | 56c | 142$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Kovacevic | 14c | 139.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Kovacevic | 30c | 138.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Tiafoe | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Tiafoe | 48c | 134.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Tiafoe | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Tiafoe | 62c | 131$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Tiafoe | 51c | 124.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…722bbacked Kovacevic | 29c | 122.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Tiafoe | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Tiafoe | 65c | 102.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…25f0backed Kovacevic | 38c | 100.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Tiafoe | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Tiafoe | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Tiafoe | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kovacevic | 35c | 97.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Kovacevic | 24c | 96.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Tiafoe | 62c | 95.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Aleksandar Kovacevicthis page
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Kovacevic (+1.5)Kovacevic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.