Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Fabian Marozsan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c044ca014105e8c3b823877e54c19cdf8c3d64ae8973149c421f7150a68a02b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Fritz, Marozsan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Fritz | 58c | 53,043$30,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,109.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Marozsan | 50c | 21,611$10,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,777.96 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Marozsan | 23c | 8,699$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.89 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Marozsan | 20c | 5,725$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Marozsan | 25c | 5,711$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.39 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Fritz | 68c | 5,500$3,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Fritz | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Fritz | 80c | 4,999$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.23 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Marozsan | 46c | 4,778$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.77 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Marozsan | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.93 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marozsan | 45c | 3,489$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fritz | 57c | 2,856$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.82 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Fritz | 45c | 2,343$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.08 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Marozsan | 50c | 2,062$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.38 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Fritz | 55c | 1,921$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.59 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fritz | 65c | 1,808$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Marozsan | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Marozsan | 41c | 1,303$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.48 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Marozsan | 23c | 1,222$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.81 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Fritz | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Marozsan | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Marozsan | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Marozsan | 25c | 999.89$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.39 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fritz | 78c | 943.87$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Marozsan | 23c | 938.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.87 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Fritz | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Fritz | 75c | 802$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Marozsan | 43c | 797.46$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Fritz | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Fritz | 38c | 631.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Marozsan | 37c | 539.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Fritz | 60c | 538.7$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.88 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Fritz | 43c | 530.36$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.97 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Marozsan | 28c | 499.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Fritz | 39c | 404.01$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.72 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Fritz | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Marozsan | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…75babacked Fritz | 78c | 325$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Fritz | 60c | 264.9$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Fritz | 78c | 256.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Fritz | 45c | 251.87$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.53 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Fritz | 69c | 249.54$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Fritz | 42c | 238.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fritz | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…7d36backed Fritz | 49c | 205.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Marozsan | 59c | 205.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Fritz | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Fritz | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Marozsan | 25c | 199.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Fritz | 48c | 165$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Fritz | 76c | 164.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Fritz | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed Fritz | 76c | 145.59$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +39%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Fritz | 36c | 137.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked Fritz | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…eab2backed Fritz | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fritz | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Fritz | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Fritz | 75c | 123.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Fritz | 68c | 122.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a8…db3dbacked Fritz | 59c | 112.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Fritz | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…b3a4backed Fritz | 47c | 101.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Marozsan | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…8125backed Fritz | 72c | 90.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…fe7ebacked Fritz | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Marozsan | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…1e2abacked Fritz | 73c | 78.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Marozsan | 43c | 69.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Marozsan | 21c | 66.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Fritz | 45c | 61.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marozsan | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Fritz | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…66b2backed Fritz | 78c | 49.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Marozsan | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fritz | 46c | 43.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fritz | 42c | 42.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Fritz | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fritz | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Fritz | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.