Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84a4de596b8667807f6c226036bc23e88588f026d1655f7dd14ad7d1da06145f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 12c | 65,535$8,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,125.53 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 19c | 13,053$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.28 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…d43fbacked No | 78c | 12,859$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…f566backed Yes | 7c | 9,109$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +105%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 74c | 4,517$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 21c | 4,426$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.4 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…aa53backed Yes | 15c | 3,476$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.95 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 3c | 3,244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…e410backed Yes | 28c | 3,201$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…e360backed Yes | 13c | 3,087$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…172fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,015$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 9c | 2,932$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.19 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 22c | 2,811$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.63 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 75c | 2,576$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…1e46backed No | 80c | 2,498$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…2da1backed Yes | 8c | 1,967$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,890$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.55 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,774$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…fd96backed Yes | 8c | 1,760$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…7177backed Yes | 8c | 1,677$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…558ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,522$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4046…ac27backed Yes | 8c | 1,384$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…4bdabacked Yes | 13c | 1,361$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…c9adbacked Yes | 8c | 1,231$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb325…022fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,221$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0543…d255backed Yes | 8c | 1,096$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 974.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…6b34backed Yes | 2c | 899.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 2c | 855.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee2…c6c1backed Yes | 5c | 801.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 68c | 767$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.62 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 14c | 759$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…b443backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…b08fbacked Yes | 28c | 626.83$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 25c | 607.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…fa68backed Yes | 13c | 578.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…2fedbacked Yes | 14c | 539.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 533.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 511.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…b75ebacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 8c | 499.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc56…5886backed No | 71c | 444.93$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…e4cebacked Yes | 29c | 444.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…b14abacked No | 71c | 399.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54b…81a7backed Yes | 15c | 395$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…6e97backed No | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3faa…feb4backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…bbe5backed Yes | 19c | 340.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb718…dde1backed Yes | 24c | 309.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 6c | 306$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 20c | 274.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…9c11backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddd…950bbacked Yes | 15c | 239.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 76c | 234.1$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 19c | 233.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325d…f38fbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…d3ffbacked Yes | 42c | 153$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Yes | 19c | 134.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…1af1backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f9…5507backed Yes | 25c | 120.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…c63fbacked No | 76c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…998cbacked No | 76c | 105.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…a7d3backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda94…c2cdbacked Yes | 27c | 85.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…d264backed No | 76c | 79.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…1f6bbacked No | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…6968backed Yes | 40c | 70.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…0de3backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 71c | 49.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…7082backed No | 72c | 46.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8916…efebbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2040…956ebacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…6b64backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…6844backed No | 77c | 21.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7041…be3fbacked No | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…5b07backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…25f0backed No | 62c | 16.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…1805backed No | 79c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…e43fbacked No | 77c | 13.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in December?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in December?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in December?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.