TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Iva Jovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabalenkaof Sabalenka, Jovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$736,266
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$789,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $736,266 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2727…eef4backed Jovic15c129,658$19,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,306.1919134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Jovic5c79,942$3,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,772.7780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Jovic16c60,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,599.9911633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Jovic0c50,077$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3722723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jovic5c45,480$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.961,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jovic15c29,387$4,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,407.9976140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Jovic5c22,165$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.1423731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jovic6c20,579$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.092,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jovic6c13,193$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.112,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Jovic15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.983935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jovic15c8,983$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.3222344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Jovic12c8,756$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06810440.4%42 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbec8…d919backed Jovic7c5,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Jovic12c5,000$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.5122737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Jovic16c4,688$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Jovic15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeef…3dafbacked Jovic16c3,500$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jovic10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Jovic6c2,633$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.684654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Jovic9c2,510$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.533423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Jovic15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Jovic16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32030645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Jovic16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32025244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Jovic15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0510043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Jovic16c1,641$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.1525722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x737d…1f6bbacked Jovic7c1,559$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.123020%6 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Jovic13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb3…b7febacked Jovic16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12fd…be65backed Jovic5c1,200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Jovic14c1,191$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7248552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf65backed Jovic17c1,189$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Jovic16c1,046$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3830339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Jovic4c1,036$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7824229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Jovic7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7089850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Jovic17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17020653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Jovic4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Jovic16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16012627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed Jovic17c857.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.692317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Jovic9c833$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.954626.1%12 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Jovic17c700$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1198445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fb…4442backed Jovic6c608$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.48425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-34.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4b7c…ef52backed Jovic4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d38…3bd9backed Jovic7c590$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.41040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd898…0448backed Jovic17c587.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-46.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Jovic9c556.85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.772,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Jovic16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Jovic16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Jovic16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8070465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Jovic16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Jovic16c485.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7131753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Jovic4c475.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2811122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x77a2…bef8backed Jovic11c428.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.421315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Jovic6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ed…de73backed Jovic15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+56.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Jovic16c353.81$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.616435.9%23 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6662…3503backed Jovic16c324.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.86812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Jovic16c320$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.216146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Jovic7c317.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.213923.7%33 W · 106 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jovic16c304$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5425428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a5…d47bbacked Jovic13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Jovic11c281.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3112344.7%55 W · 68 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Jovic16c253.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030750.5%155 W · 152 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Jovic6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Jovic13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52516%4 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Jovic16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x438b…fb23backed Jovic5c233.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfca…bcdabacked Jovic16c212.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b54…b910backed Jovic15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick22cpaid+79.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Jovic15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Jovic6c197.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.772218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Jovic9c197.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.724931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d8…969ebacked Jovic16c195.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Jovic12c166.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9834745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Jovic16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Jovic15c133$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9560240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Jovic16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010134.7%35 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa519…86dabacked Jovic16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed Jovic16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1670%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Jovic16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Jovic16c87.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146940.6%28 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d40…b4ecbacked Jovic15c81.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.513546.7%63 W · 72 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Jovic16c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.85626.8%15 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Jovic16c63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…5bbfbacked Jovic16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+71.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Jovic16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103040%12 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.