CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e7a735f602473596e418f55094402319a2adf5303da2c126654251efd0f9400
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, Iowa Stormboar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa Stormboar | 55c | 4,768$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.07 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Iowa Stormboar | 45c | 2,980$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.97 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Iowa Stormboar | 35c | 1,467$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.92 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Iowa Stormboar | 51c | 1,460$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.67 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed NRG | 55c | 1,414$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.94 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed NRG | 27c | 892.06$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.98 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed NRG | 62c | 833.85$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.06 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed NRG | 30c | 759.82$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.17 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed NRG | 34c | 566.84$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.48 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed NRG | 48c | 450$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed NRG | 18c | 449.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.98 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG | 69c | 443.96$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked NRG | 62c | 403.34$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Iowa Stormboar | 56c | 370.39$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.95 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked NRG | 37c | 357.87$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.31 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Iowa Stormboar | 67c | 344.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.65 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Iowa Stormboar | 20c | 330$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Iowa Stormboar | 62c | 299.69$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.71 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed NRG | 21c | 239.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.05 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Iowa Stormboar | 38c | 199.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Iowa Stormboar | 20c | 188.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked Iowa Stormboar | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed NRG | 65c | 180.65$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 490 | 50.6%248 W · 242 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Iowa Stormboar | 65c | 177.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Iowa Stormboar | 48c | 170.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked NRG | 52c | 168.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked NRG | 25c | 160.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…a355backed NRG | 68c | 153.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Iowa Stormboar | 11c | 152$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Iowa Stormboar | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…795fbacked NRG | 58c | 141.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG | 41c | 136$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked NRG | 72c | 131.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Iowa Stormboar | 68c | 125.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked NRG | 59c | 122.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…e361backed NRG | 33c | 116.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +56%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed NRG | 12c | 115$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Iowa Stormboar | 28c | 110.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Iowa Stormboar | 54c | 106.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Iowa Stormboar | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NRG | 37c | 102$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed NRG | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Iowa Stormboar | 46c | 94.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 583 | 45.3%264 W · 319 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Iowa Stormboar | 75c | 91.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Iowa Stormboar | 75c | 83.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NRG | 54c | 80.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Iowa Stormboar | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…44c9backed Iowa Stormboar | 31c | 78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Iowa Stormboar | 56c | 71.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Iowa Stormboar | 71c | 71.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG | 73c | 70.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Iowa Stormboar | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked NRG | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,038 | 57.4%596 W · 442 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed NRG | 44c | 60.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 660 | 72.4%478 W · 182 L | +117.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed NRG | 32c | 55.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381e…c575backed Iowa Stormboar | 68c | 53.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked NRG | 76c | 51.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…3342backed NRG | 27c | 49.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…11a2backed NRG | 56c | 48.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8382backed Iowa Stormboar | 35c | 43.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Iowa Stormboar | 63c | 43.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NRG | 74c | 42.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked NRG | 75c | 39.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed NRG | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed NRG | 39c | 32.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 607 | 53.9%327 W · 280 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed NRG | 76c | 31.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked NRG | 60c | 29.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Iowa Stormboar | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked NRG | 58c | 20.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 671 | 47.1%316 W · 355 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked NRG | 74c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.