CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7da68c93b0964b762f9d46b0df11e10fde304fc9ba27873f7de7ad1ac8fb3f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, Iowa Stormboar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Iowa Stormboar | 14c | 1,466$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Iowa Stormboar | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Iowa Stormboar | 16c | 544.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Iowa Stormboar | 14c | 520.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa Stormboar | 11c | 237.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Iowa Stormboar | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Iowa Stormboar | 17c | 136$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed NRG | 72c | 128$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Iowa Stormboar | 16c | 121.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Iowa Stormboar | 18c | 89.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Iowa Stormboar | 17c | 79.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…11a2backed NRG | 75c | 78.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed NRG | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…ab75backed Iowa Stormboar | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed NRG | 69c | 43.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed NRG | 76c | 41.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked NRG | 69c | 23.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.