TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc767…1490

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.22
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.1
Cancun: Moez Echargui vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$151.67
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Filsbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.77
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Sheltonbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmanebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5)backed Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+98%+$19.72
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.93
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$43.86
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$22.06
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovicbacked Mika Petkovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$81.71
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.89
Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobollibacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Serena Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.23
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$51.66
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.53
Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$40.29
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$48.53
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$30.22
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Yan Diomandé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Martin Baturina: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.12
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.