Fifa International · resolved market
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0359140ef687e6df54a970e1988f6527187106e4631f7d74601abd63f95e1cfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 62c | 38,736$24,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,015.98 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,399.99 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 0c | 10,309$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Yes | 40c | 10,045$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,045.41 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…7483backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 60c | 5,324$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.28 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 38c | 4,399$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.34 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 38c | 3,100$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 28c | 3,004$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.86 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 59c | 2,298$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.55 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 40c | 1,760$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.45 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Yes | 38c | 1,515$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.37 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 61c | 1,498$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.36 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 13c | 1,049$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.32 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 61c | 999.97$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.98 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 61c | 964.5$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.41 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 38c | 830.47$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.89 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 38c | 799.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 60c | 799.96$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.98 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 38c | 764.21$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.81 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No | 61c | 667.9$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.42 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 38c | 603.87$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.02 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes | 39c | 505.13$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.13 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 59c | 499.97$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.98 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 17c | 466.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 38c | 434.21$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.21 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 39c | 394.48$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.38 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 40c | 377.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.81 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…afa4backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Yes | 39c | 276$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.36 | 282 | 57.1%161 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…7ba3backed Yes | 38c | 273.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.68 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 60c | 270.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.43 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Yes | 41c | 269.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.15 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +11.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 27c | 264$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…6871backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac9…14e8backed Yes | 39c | 250.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 39c | 243.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…72a8backed Yes | 40c | 185.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 242 | 56.6%137 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked Yes | 38c | 164.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ddbabacked Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 38c | 155.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes | 40c | 147$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…788abacked Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 38c | 144.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…3daebacked Yes | 40c | 116.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 190 | 31.6%60 W · 130 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 35c | 112.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 133 | 28.6%38 W · 95 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 108.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 38c | 105.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…d6c7backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…4a91backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…b512backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…27cabacked Yes | 39c | 102$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…c8b3backed Yes | 40c | 101.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…4a1abacked Yes | 23c | 99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 60c | 97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 38c | 94.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 38c | 93.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…82d7backed Yes | 41c | 92.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Yes | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…1a99backed Yes | 41c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 189 | 42.3%80 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 59c | 75.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…2777backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 38c | 72.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc767…1490backed Yes | 41c | 68.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 71c | 64.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 80c | 64.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 39c | 64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbae…9a39backed Yes | 31c | 61.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…1a48backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…0187backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Yes | 38c | 57.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fc…1a65backed Yes | 40c | 51.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7461…5cc5backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9424…9b81backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0637…0facbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsthis page
- Deniz Undav: 1+ assistsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 1+ goalsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 1+ shotsYes won
- Deniz Undav: 2+ assistsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 2+ goalsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 2+ shotsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 3+ goalsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 1+ assistsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 1+ shotsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 2+ assistsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 2+ shotsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 3+ shotsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 1+ assistsYes won
- Florian Wirtz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jamie Leweling: 2+ goalsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 1+ assistsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 1+ goalsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 2+ assistsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 1+ goalsYes won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 4+ shotsNo won
- Leon Goretzka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leon Goretzka: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leon Goretzka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 2+ goalsNo won
- Maximilian Beier: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nathaniel Brown: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nick Woltemade: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nick Woltemade: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.