TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Kai Havertz: 4+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,201
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,201 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e6b…13f2backed Yes35c750$264 inLost-$263.752544%11 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed No4c505$20 inWon+$484.82458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+284.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71db…1700backed No4c500$20 inWon+$4801233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+156.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed No7c250$18 inWon+$232.51850%9 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+78.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcdf…8116backed Yes46c85$39 inLost-$39.15042%21 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No54c80.87$44 inWon+$37.22,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Yes38c29.03$11 inLost-$11.0357252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a17…38b0backed No45c28.8$13 inWon+$15.86683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+57.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked No62c27.42$17 inWon+$10.429858.2%57 W · 41 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No53c21.28$11 inWon+$1014763.9%94 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.