Fifa International · resolved market
Joshua Kimmich: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a1db40f52f4ff3c8031a258f122be34ddcfc05e7227113e16d842911cf07b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 77c | 1,813$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.12 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 73c | 1,107$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.82 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.71 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 27c | 934.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 23c | 667.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes | 27c | 485.57$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 74c | 435.72$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.29 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 386.15$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 23c | 213.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 176.11$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 77c | 174$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…1371backed No | 77c | 155.24$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes | 19c | 137$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…566cbacked No | 76c | 134.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 65 | 84.6%55 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 22c | 124.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 105$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 98.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…7ad9backed Yes | 23c | 88.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 21c | 69.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked No | 79c | 51.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…0786backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 76c | 34.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 79c | 23.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed No | 79c | 22.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed No | 78c | 17.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Joshua Kimmich: 1+ assiststhis page
- Deniz Undav: 1+ assistsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 1+ goalsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 1+ shotsYes won
- Deniz Undav: 2+ assistsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 2+ goalsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 2+ shotsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 3+ goalsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 1+ assistsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 1+ shotsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 2+ assistsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 2+ shotsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 3+ shotsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 1+ assistsYes won
- Florian Wirtz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jamie Leweling: 2+ goalsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 1+ goalsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 2+ assistsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 1+ goalsYes won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kai Havertz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 4+ shotsNo won
- Leon Goretzka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leon Goretzka: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leon Goretzka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 2+ goalsNo won
- Maximilian Beier: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nathaniel Brown: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nick Woltemade: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nick Woltemade: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.