Fifa International · resolved market
Jamal Musiala: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70b00241b5f99d884936f4f68feb816349d0485ae572d42028ef0e37739f3579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 3c | 2,842$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Yes | 19c | 2,125$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.68 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 78c | 1,038$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.23 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 919.21$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 23c | 827.68$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 18c | 787.54$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.09 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 70c | 786.64$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.99 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed No | 70c | 762.14$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.64 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 8c | 665.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 20c | 537.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 68c | 499.97$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…7ba3backed Yes | 11c | 453.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…4a8ebacked Yes | 23c | 429.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 17c | 346.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes | 32c | 313.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 17c | 310.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…0ab3backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked Yes | 21c | 265$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…7f29backed Yes | 19c | 264$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 32c | 250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…4c22backed Yes | 21c | 241.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 23c | 219.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 27c | 203.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 19c | 196.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…05adbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 126.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 19c | 122$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27d…f58cbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…2b31backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 21c | 97.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc7…1483backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…0c3fbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…82f3backed Yes | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…f379backed Yes | 22c | 71.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…9e69backed Yes | 25c | 71.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…05a8backed No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…74d6backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 78c | 60.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…f6a1backed Yes | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 27c | 56.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 70c | 56.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…a487backed Yes | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 41.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 69c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 79c | 30.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 78c | 22.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jamal Musiala: 1+ goalsthis page
- Deniz Undav: 1+ assistsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 1+ goalsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 1+ shotsYes won
- Deniz Undav: 2+ assistsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 2+ goalsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 2+ shotsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 3+ goalsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 1+ assistsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 1+ shotsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 2+ assistsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 2+ shotsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 3+ shotsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 1+ assistsYes won
- Florian Wirtz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jamie Leweling: 2+ goalsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 1+ assistsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 1+ goalsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 2+ assistsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 1+ goalsYes won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kai Havertz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 4+ shotsNo won
- Leon Goretzka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leon Goretzka: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leon Goretzka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 2+ goalsNo won
- Maximilian Beier: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nathaniel Brown: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nick Woltemade: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nick Woltemade: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.