Deniz Undav: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe394473195894af247666fa99d4c22b0901e4d4f13858b75fe2b1ecb4f613c5a

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $43,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,044 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x336b…1233backed No	59c	10,000$5,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,099.85	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	3c	9,601$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.28	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	58c	4,000$2,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,659.93	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28be…9e69backed Yes	41c	2,439$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60c9…9e8abacked Yes	42c	2,322$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.29	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes	41c	1,829$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	59c	1,564$923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.22	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Yes	41c	1,220$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-4.7wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed No	59c	1,118$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.47	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No	58c	1,014$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426	292	50.7%148 W · 144 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes	42c	1,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yes	2c	899.97$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	95	2.1%2 W · 93 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	17c	854.89$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.33	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes	40c	800$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	350	36.3%127 W · 223 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf511…bfe4backed No	60c	800$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	145	79.3%115 W · 30 L	+17.0wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Yes	41c	731.71$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No	65c	700.01$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	61	62.3%38 W · 23 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No	60c	689$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.6	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No	61c	664.02$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.45	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	58c	663.59$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.58	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975e…f875backed No	60c	648.33$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.33	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	41c	627.29$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.19	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No	59c	619.96$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.98	97	67%65 W · 32 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeacb…4a8ebacked Yes	42c	611.9$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes	41c	609.76$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	95	30.5%29 W · 66 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes	24c	504.44$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.11	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	57c	501$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.43	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Yes	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa95e…11f6backed Yes	41c	487.8$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc88…a949backed Yes	41c	485.37$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No	57c	468.59$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.46	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No	56c	400$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes	40c	300$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	135	45.9%62 W · 73 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked Yes	35c	300$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	311	71.4%222 W · 89 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes	41c	250$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	125	35.2%44 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed No	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	157	42%66 W · 91 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes	41c	250$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e2…d5b2backed Yes	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x307a…d612backed Yes	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x352c…940dbacked Yes	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	90	64.4%58 W · 32 L	+9.7wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95a6…b568backed Yes	42c	240.48$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bf…5c1fbacked Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No	54c	201.62$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.75	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1442…5a8fbacked Yes	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa599…9176backed No	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	151	77.5%117 W · 34 L	+13.1wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed No	60c	198.33$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.33	114	36.8%42 W · 72 L	+7.2wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	58c	192.63$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.09	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x222d…0562backed Yes	26c	191.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+47.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9996…72a8backed Yes	42c	182.26$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	242	56.6%137 W · 105 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes	41c	151.22$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	-9.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes	41c	150$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.5	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5af8…db25backed Yes	41c	150$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.5	107	26.2%28 W · 79 L	-12.9wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked No	59c	150$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.5	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed No	63c	149.98$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.49	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-6.3wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	38c	149.54$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.13	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x064f…e6b8backed Yes	41c	146.17$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.93	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0769…c7ecbacked No	60c	136.67$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.67	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Yes	41c	134.15$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	155	22.6%35 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	68c	134.13$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.95	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed No	77c	129.16$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.16	177	36.7%65 W · 112 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c10…f135backed Yes	40c	124.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	315	54.6%172 W · 143 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb30…97e8backed Yes	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	72	26.4%19 W · 53 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d4…4064backed Yes	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	113	38.1%43 W · 70 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x650a…e1aebacked Yes	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Yes	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	189	42.3%80 W · 109 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	128	39.1%50 W · 78 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes	41c	116.27$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.67	248	40.3%100 W · 148 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No	69c	109.99$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.1	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	272	42.3%115 W · 157 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5427…bb86backed Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Yes	41c	97.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x834f…f38ebacked Yes	41c	92.68$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…cf98backed Yes	41c	90.24$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	98	34.7%34 W · 64 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d2…05a8backed No	59c	90$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.9	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes	41c	85.37$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	14c	83.11$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Yes	32c	79.22$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	73c	75.2$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.56	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2716…a6f4backed Yes	41c	73.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed No	60c	70.14$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.98	238	58%138 W · 100 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3607…c427backed Yes	43c	67.44$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	138	33.3%46 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…56b8backed Yes	42c	65.5$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.51	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No	56c	60.98$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38c7…806ebacked Yes	41c	60.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	57c	60.3$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.93	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Yes	41c	58.54$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	137	36.5%50 W · 87 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…ac32backed Yes	41c	58.02$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.79	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed No	55c	57.15$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.72	73	54.8%40 W · 33 L	+9.8wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	66c	51$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	129	33.3%43 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	115	26.1%30 W · 85 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked No	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	178	45.5%81 W · 97 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf0…fdc8backed Yes	32c	49.39$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68d…959abacked Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	64.6%31 W · 17 L	+7.5wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa504…c842backed Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf259…eb1abacked Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Deniz Undav: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event