Fifa International · resolved market
Julio César Enciso: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x364922df26dfcfee62bb956789b969afde047c4f0ef6249461bec7f673350dfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 2,486$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.94 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.08 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…53c8backed Yes | 13c | 1,187$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.46 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 13c | 684.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.84 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 15c | 553.83$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.81 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 10c | 415$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.1 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 13c | 386.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.85 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 8c | 334.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.27 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…b512backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 13c | 215.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.38 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 14c | 187.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 13c | 185.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.05 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…0187backed Yes | 6c | 169.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.37 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed Yes | 10c | 134.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 8c | 128$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Julio César Enciso: 1+ goalsthis page
- Deniz Undav: 1+ assistsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 1+ goalsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 1+ shotsYes won
- Deniz Undav: 2+ assistsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 2+ goalsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 2+ shotsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 3+ goalsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 1+ assistsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 1+ goalsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 1+ shotsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 2+ assistsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 2+ goalsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 2+ shotsNo won
- Felix Nmecha: 3+ shotsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 1+ assistsYes won
- Florian Wirtz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jamie Leweling: 2+ goalsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 1+ assistsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 1+ goalsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 2+ assistsNo won
- Joshua Kimmich: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julio César Enciso: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kai Havertz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 4+ shotsNo won
- Leon Goretzka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leon Goretzka: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leon Goretzka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 1+ goalsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 2+ assistsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 2+ goalsNo won
- Maximilian Beier: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nathaniel Brown: 1+ assistsNo won
- Nick Woltemade: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nick Woltemade: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.