TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cancun: Moez Echargui vs Moise Kouame

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Moez Echarguiof Moez Echargui, Moise Kouame
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,969
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,969 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Moez Echargui40c7,307$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,389.584,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Moez Echargui66c6,230$4,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.236,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Moise Kouame37c5,928$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.723,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5455…8b2abacked Moez Echargui13c5,000$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,363.3813239.4%52 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Moise Kouame62c4,851$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,016.698,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Moise Kouame67c4,547$3,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,030.84,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Moez Echargui51c4,390$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,171.4921147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd263…4d59backed Moez Echargui24c4,138$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,152.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Moez Echargui68c3,989$2,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.051,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Moise Kouame1c3,870$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.74355.8%24 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae5c…5df7backed Moise Kouame53c3,851$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.937248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Moise Kouame76c3,598$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.481,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Moise Kouame68c3,509$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.3511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Moise Kouame57c3,138$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.128,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Moez Echargui32c2,706$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.8470041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Moise Kouame45c2,688$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.8288358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Moez Echargui28c2,282$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.731,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Moise Kouame53c2,166$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.378,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Moez Echargui71c2,089$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.970254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe75…5af2backed Moise Kouame8c2,011$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9911662.9%73 W · 43 L+12.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+34%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Moise Kouame63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00060053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Moise Kouame58c1,552$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90023738.8%92 W · 145 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Moise Kouame35c1,550$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.6351744.7%231 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Moez Echargui48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78011850%59 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Moise Kouame68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Moise Kouame24c1,356$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.0464837.5%243 W · 405 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Moise Kouame25c1,324$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.281,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Moise Kouame34c1,253$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.42,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Moise Kouame68c999.39$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.5946551.2%238 W · 227 L-23.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa521…d609backed Moise Kouame45c976.59$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4372969%20 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Moez Echargui35c851.16$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.5714656.2%82 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Moez Echargui35c851.1$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.525158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Moez Echargui28c841.28$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.723,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Moise Kouame60c838.79$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036545.2%165 W · 200 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Moez Echargui32c822$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.9661152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Moise Kouame57c788.6$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.9440935.7%146 W · 263 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Moez Echargui35c760$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.334047.6%162 W · 178 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Moise Kouame50c738.82$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.4171725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Moise Kouame27c728.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6678838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd9…90b2backed Moise Kouame11c727.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809532.6%31 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Moez Echargui46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37839243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Moise Kouame55c630.51$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.151,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Moez Echargui23c605.83$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.8330647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Moez Echargui31c600.28$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.741,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Moez Echargui32c600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4087,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Moise Kouame52c575.82$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.8211047.3%52 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Moise Kouame35c552.54$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3988935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Moise Kouame49c515.87$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8734555.1%190 W · 155 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Moise Kouame57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28514858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Moise Kouame41c476.19$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2449447.2%233 W · 261 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb361…7348backed Moise Kouame68c468.32$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.555754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Moise Kouame71c464.04$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.185,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68b6…99b4backed Moez Echargui44c457.66$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6213453.7%72 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Moez Echargui44c441.29$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2736946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Moez Echargui13c419.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.2322020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Moise Kouame45c410.04$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.051,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Moez Echargui32c407.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.5614439.6%57 W · 87 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ef…82b8backed Moise Kouame57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2285052%26 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf1a…0e12backed Moez Echargui50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Moise Kouame27c396.59$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0828348.1%136 W · 147 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Moez Echargui54c308.19$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4891051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Moise Kouame43c302.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13047728.1%134 W · 343 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Moez Echargui30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Moez Echargui23c299.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23148842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Moise Kouame67c299$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3327252.9%144 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f29…2814backed Moise Kouame44c298.42$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x218b…2ebdbacked Moise Kouame55c297.61$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.452944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Moez Echargui56c292.63$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.764369.8%30 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Moez Echargui48c285.46$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.449627.1%26 W · 70 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2f…5e19backed Moez Echargui30c283.33$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3310761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Moise Kouame56c268.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Moez Echargui29c266.72$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3744349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Moez Echargui66c265.75$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.243,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf107…b9babacked Moez Echargui41c244.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.11850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5923…04b8backed Moise Kouame41c238.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.627546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Moise Kouame39c235.13$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.16,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Moise Kouame74c227.98$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.862,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8fe…211ebacked Moise Kouame24c215$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.61118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Moez Echargui42c210.87$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.814,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f9…d394backed Moise Kouame80c201.96$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16112441.1%51 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Moez Echargui78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449640.6%39 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Moez Echargui78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447245.8%33 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5264…7eb9backed Moez Echargui78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445438.9%21 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Moez Echargui78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4414047.1%66 W · 74 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Moise Kouame11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210632.1%34 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f15…bf6ebacked Moez Echargui78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-88.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Moise Kouame11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228027.5%22 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Moise Kouame42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8448941.1%201 W · 288 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Moise Kouame34c198.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.225,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8204…8fa3backed Moez Echargui30c192.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.194030%12 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17af…b7e4backed Moise Kouame53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029948.5%145 W · 154 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Moez Echargui69c180.06$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.572,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Moez Echargui32c178.57$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.672,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Moise Kouame41c178.56$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2165942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Moez Echargui33c173.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4729554.6%161 W · 134 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Moise Kouame74c169.72$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.86,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Moez Echargui32c164.44$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8230644.1%135 W · 171 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Moise Kouame44c157.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.353,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Moez Echargui32c155.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.077,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Moise Kouame16c153.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9815931.4%50 W · 109 L+15.3wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.