NBA · resolved market
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x663bc520600545e21acf3085ece995ba3b8582c23e01310726e11706045b1050
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 46c | 6,112$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.3 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 54c | 3,406$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.24 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Yes | 43c | 3,329$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.96 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 58c | 2,721$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.74 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 54c | 870.84$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.94 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 45c | 800.57$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.1 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 57c | 530$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.7 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked No | 46c | 399.96$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 58c | 325.86$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 48c | 319.97$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Yes | 54c | 305.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.78 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 34c | 264$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.46 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…5eeabacked Yes | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked No | 50c | 215.88$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…07f7backed Yes | 50c | 200.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes | 52c | 191.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Yes | 59c | 144.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 40c | 124.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 50c | 123.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…626abacked Yes | 59c | 118.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Yes | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 36cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 55c | 87.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 45c | 87.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bf…dbe7backed Yes | 54c | 85.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…31c1backed Yes | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 76.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…0be2backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 54c | 67.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc767…1490backed Yes | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Yes | 54c | 50.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked No | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8cec…d3abbacked No | 71c | 47.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 54c | 43.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed No | 61c | 43.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…8bc3backed Yes | 55c | 42.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…f932backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…44bcbacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…1dd0backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 416 | 54.8%228 W · 188 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…7d91backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…e983backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5575…c56dbacked Yes | 59c | 34.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…7e5cbacked Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…03b0backed Yes | 53c | 33.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 54c | 32.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 30.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 54c | 29.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…531fbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f0…78cfbacked Yes | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…be72backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…88e1backed No | 57c | 22.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…bb75backed Yes | 54c | 19.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 194.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 195.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 196.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.