Fifa International · resolved market
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x310093c2f8f229e65e442be11465912167dc251c7dca99e32699522ae30620d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 70c | 6,103$4,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.86 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 25c | 4,468$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.78 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed No | 71c | 3,297$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.13 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 77c | 1,231$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.69 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes | 19c | 1,079$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 30c | 981.23$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.37 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…4d6ebacked Yes | 30c | 933.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 70c | 869.97$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.99 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Yes | 30c | 800$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 127 | 24.4%31 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Yes | 30c | 724.9$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.47 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…7ba3backed Yes | 30c | 663.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.96 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 70c | 615.9$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.77 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 71c | 545.58$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 29c | 414.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ddbabacked Yes | 30c | 413.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 69c | 339.84$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 31c | 321.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…a89ebacked Yes | 30c | 216.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 65c | 214.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 74c | 194.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…83bcbacked Yes | 30c | 176.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Yes | 34c | 147.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Yes | 34c | 145$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 70c | 134.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 29c | 128.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 31c | 127.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Yes | 30c | 124.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 69c | 124.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 79.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172e…3ee3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc767…1490backed Yes | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0899…0507backed Yes | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…1740backed Yes | 31c | 61.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedd2…230ebacked Yes | 31c | 58.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 30c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 68c | 50.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…4ba6backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…267fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 76c | 43.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…2b0fbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…f703backed No | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…fac2backed No | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Isak: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ayase Ueda: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ayase Ueda: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ayase Ueda: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ayase Ueda: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ayase Ueda: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Benjamin Nygren: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Daichi Kamada: 1+ assistsNo won
- Daichi Kamada: 1+ goalsNo won
- Daichi Kamada: 3+ goalsNo won
- Daichi Kamada: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Daizen Maeda: 1+ goalsYes won
- Daizen Maeda: 3+ goalsNo won
- Daizen Maeda: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Junya Itō: 3+ goalsNo won
- Junya Itō: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Keisuke Gotō: 3+ goalsNo won
- Keito Nakamura: 3+ goalsNo won
- Keito Nakamura: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kento Shiogai: 3+ goalsNo won
- Koki Ogawa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Koki Ogawa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ritsu Dōan: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ritsu Dōan: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ritsu Dōan: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Takefusa Kubo: 1+ shotsNo won
- Takefusa Kubo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Takefusa Kubo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ assistsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shotsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shotsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ shotsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 4+ shotsNo won
- Yuito Suzuki: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.