Fifa International · resolved market
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea203ef678fc8f8f5b3a8a98d7a4bd2dcadfadcb713561e8941f03c4f7d32dbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.97 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 34c | 1,532$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 66c | 1,511$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.8 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 860.38$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.78 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Yes | 34c | 529.41$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 469.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 65c | 281.09$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…8e9fbacked Yes | 37c | 271.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 63c | 199.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…b568backed Yes | 35c | 151.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…e31dbacked Yes | 34c | 148.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Yes | 38c | 131.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…1499backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 66c | 94.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 34c | 91.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 27c | 89.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 89.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Yes | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 64c | 83.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Yes | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…4ba6backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…b3d9backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed Yes | 33c | 58.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…2e06backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…0bc9backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…9178backed Yes | 34c | 52.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 64c | 45.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…5e4cbacked No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 64c | 36.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…c991backed Yes | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 34c | 31.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 61c | 20.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…c560backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ayase Ueda: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Isak: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ayase Ueda: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ayase Ueda: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ayase Ueda: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ayase Ueda: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Benjamin Nygren: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Daichi Kamada: 1+ assistsNo won
- Daichi Kamada: 1+ goalsNo won
- Daichi Kamada: 3+ goalsNo won
- Daichi Kamada: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Daizen Maeda: 1+ goalsYes won
- Daizen Maeda: 3+ goalsNo won
- Daizen Maeda: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Junya Itō: 3+ goalsNo won
- Junya Itō: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Keisuke Gotō: 3+ goalsNo won
- Keito Nakamura: 3+ goalsNo won
- Keito Nakamura: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kento Shiogai: 3+ goalsNo won
- Koki Ogawa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Koki Ogawa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ritsu Dōan: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ritsu Dōan: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ritsu Dōan: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Takefusa Kubo: 1+ shotsNo won
- Takefusa Kubo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Takefusa Kubo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ assistsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shotsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shotsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ shotsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 4+ shotsNo won
- Yuito Suzuki: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.