Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fdda9e3beca0ec05910b326a3ce1e2d5b0664eb2ad631f88e65526b1734333d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 8,535$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.17 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked No | 75c | 4,255$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.95 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 3,996$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.33 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 2,883$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.55 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,613$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.15 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 25c | 2,250$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 24c | 2,171$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.34 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 24c | 1,645$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.72 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 1,155$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.43 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 768.8$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 76c | 759.72$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.33 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 759.72$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.33 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 742.18$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 612$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.76 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 520.69$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.59 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 505$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9558…9579backed No | 74c | 408.46$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 403.74$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Yes | 27c | 353.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes | 27c | 330$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 76c | 328$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 78c | 256.03$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 25c | 244$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 75c | 207.82$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…d9cebacked Yes | 21c | 199.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 199.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 78c | 110.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed No | 80c | 102.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 75c | 82.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 73.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 79c | 65.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4550…f741backed Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 22c | 50.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a8f9backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…4356backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 48.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 44.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 25c | 43.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 38.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 79c | 33.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 74c | 32.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 80c | 31.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144b…6caabacked No | 79c | 27.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 76c | 24.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 77c | 22.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 74c | 21.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed No | 77c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff71…c414backed No | 76c | 13.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-29?Yes won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.