Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x001da30f1d8b7da6714d7b033899d7207c9166c4f55231cf2df96ebc3246bae7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 17c | 52,558$8,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,934.79 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 19c | 7,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 18c | 4,372$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.89 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 18c | 2,930$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.48 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 18c | 2,083$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.33 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 2,044$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.96 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 1,724$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,577$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.33 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Yes | 7c | 992.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 970.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 5c | 943$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 18c | 758.73$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 3c | 688.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 23c | 625.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.83 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1eb…c51dbacked Yes | 4c | 517.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 18c | 488.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 463.68$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5b…a7cebacked Yes | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 17c | 441.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 438.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed Yes | 19c | 404.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 18c | 394.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3d27backed Yes | 31c | 376.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 18c | 332.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 26c | 309.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 4c | 287.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 13c | 286.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 9c | 283.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…178dbacked Yes | 17c | 282.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 18c | 256.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 19c | 250.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 210.77$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 17c | 209.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed Yes | 20c | 185.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 6c | 180.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…2ca6backed Yes | 18c | 158.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…a3bdbacked Yes | 19c | 154.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 17c | 138.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x909e…735cbacked Yes | 20c | 131.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 80c | 126.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8875…26e7backed Yes | 18c | 125.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d3…89e4backed Yes | 21c | 116.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…eee0backed Yes | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…edbdbacked Yes | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 19c | 105.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 18c | 102.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 58.8%133 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 19c | 96.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…6f82backed Yes | 22c | 94.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 18c | 88.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 29c | 88.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…627fbacked Yes | 18c | 79.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Yes | 16c | 77.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 18c | 75.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Yes | 17c | 72.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84e0…439abacked Yes | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Yes | 21c | 67.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 20c | 58.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 79c | 43.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.