Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b13c599471879b4d453e623e7effa7b3dcede9008d62e55d6e61f34b70711f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31e0…94b0backed Over | 77c | 5,171$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 5,120$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.59 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…267abacked Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 14c | 1,076$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 849.23$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.83 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 13c | 736.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 56c | 339.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.55 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 301.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 36c | 286.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 25c | 260.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 74c | 241.77$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Under | 24c | 188.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…e39dbacked Under | 13c | 150.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 73c | 137.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -66%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 27c | 125.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…78f3backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…e861backed Under | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 29c | 102.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…550dbacked Over | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Under | 36c | 88.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 82.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 72c | 69.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 71c | 54.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 28c | 35.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Over | 73c | 34.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Over | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 2.5this page
- AFC Ajax vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.