Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76610f4c82c1e779a15fc78721ebc911313dba77aa0c5e9ab1a4103cf6a2c6f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 784.16$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.33 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 51c | 479.94$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 67c | 450.51$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.55 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Under | 52c | 384.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 43c | 362.57$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 279.02$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 79c | 215.19$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 24c | 210$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 200.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 160.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 49c | 149.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1732…1c15backed Over | 61c | 118.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 79c | 117.36$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 51c | 103.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 51c | 98.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 49c | 97.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 51c | 97.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 58c | 88.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Over | 22c | 86.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 24c | 83.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 80.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 75.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 34c | 64.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 62.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 52c | 60.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…550dbacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Under | 58c | 46.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 51c | 38.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 78c | 38.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 33c | 30.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 59c | 30.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 60c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 49c | 29.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 50c | 28.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…abc3backed Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 48c | 23.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 3.5this page
- AFC Ajax vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.