Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cfc1985e223f0ed3af6be0cb4f7022afb42a7756bbedf1c67124860d5020d3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 4,718$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.72 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 45c | 4,181$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.15 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 13c | 2,288$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.98 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,306$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 1,163$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.38 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 77c | 1,150$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.57 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 40c | 887$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.14 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Yes | 4c | 632$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 3cpaid | +663.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 54c | 600$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 63c | 530.66$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.73 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 73c | 383.56$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…03b4backed Yes | 17c | 350.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 273.91$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 57c | 231.31$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 216.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 60c | 183.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 58c | 155.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 12c | 155.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 120.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 47c | 102.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 27c | 82.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 72c | 67.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…2dd4backed Yes | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…6645backed Yes | 18c | 62.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 52c | 61.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 46c | 58.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 75c | 56.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 66c | 52.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…b917backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 68c | 45.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes | 26c | 45.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…68d2backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 60c | 32.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 25.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 44c | 25.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 65c | 24.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed No | 59c | 23.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 52c | 22.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 75c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-20?Yes won
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.