Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cd5efbfcbd5172c1b52b92fa46ce75a1e8b409990bca3c52d749ddff2e0a132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes | 25c | 3,043$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 2,489$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.33 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…49a4backed Yes | 6c | 2,165$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 940.34$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 917.78$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.24 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 75c | 913.19$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.65 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 5c | 582.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 577.79$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 26c | 574.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Yes | 8c | 425$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 353.25$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 74c | 321.05$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 282.92$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 281$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 25c | 279.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 181.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 116.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 75c | 90.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 48.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 22.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 75c | 21.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 74c | 19.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 74c | 17.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?No won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.