Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x762d5759e60e0c56830173b74e4c9e1ca2974450fb4206e63c9d05afa616b4f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 11c | 8,580$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.57 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 0c | 5,584$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 31c | 2,836$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,450$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 1,948$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.44 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 67c | 1,264$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.5 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 1,113$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.91 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576e…d5dcbacked Yes | 3c | 670$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 66c | 595.4$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.48 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 522.33$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Yes | 35c | 449.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 69c | 443.49$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 415.92$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 77c | 398.84$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 21c | 360$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 4c | 337.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 69c | 320$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 69c | 315$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 67c | 312$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 21c | 299.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 68c | 280$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 11c | 251$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked No | 67c | 229.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…fa63backed Yes | 13c | 178.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 67c | 175.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 32c | 170.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…2193backed No | 67c | 149.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 68c | 148.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 68c | 147.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 15c | 124$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 66c | 119.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…3612backed Yes | 31c | 107.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked No | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 10c | 100.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Yes | 31c | 95.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 34c | 91.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 34c | 83.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 32c | 60.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 60.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed No | 70c | 59.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 68c | 52.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Yes | 34c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 37.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf618…ba85backed Yes | 30c | 33.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 67c | 21.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 67c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 70c | 21.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 69c | 18.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.