Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaedc7fc3886338600433ff8f1ce9654a81bdb18e02da54c28630f7dcf284914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 34c | 6,878$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.92 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 62c | 5,204$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.47 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 4,871$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 2,885$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.6 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 49c | 2,505$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.62 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 1c | 2,288$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,248$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.21 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…6b45backed Yes | 24c | 2,241$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 2,197$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.92 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 1,855$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.39 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.13 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 73c | 1,371$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 25c | 1,250$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 923.65$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.33 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 19c | 913.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 702.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 650$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.5 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 42c | 615$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.79 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 27c | 509.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.29 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 26c | 434.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.89 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 419.51$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.67 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…8b39backed No | 74c | 407.39$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 17c | 399.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 391.18$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.28 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 47c | 375.87$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.43 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 36c | 298.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…691ebacked Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…da5ebacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 80cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…5750backed Yes | 26c | 219.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -71%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 60c | 166.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 80c | 164.6$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.68 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 141.78$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 71c | 114.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 113.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 111.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 106$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…accbbacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…c002backed Yes | 64c | 102.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…d9cebacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 99.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 25c | 83.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 27c | 74.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +87%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 29c | 65.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yes | 68c | 58.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 33c | 57.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 57c | 52.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 48c | 49.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 38c | 49.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed Yes | 27c | 46.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 36c | 46.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 66c | 42.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226e…920fbacked Yes | 27c | 41.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 38c | 37.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 36.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 67c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 38c | 27.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 75c | 26.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…f975backed No | 73c | 26.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…17c3backed No | 44c | 24.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 62c | 22.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 73c | 19.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 73c | 16.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 80c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-30?No won
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.