Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf922d09ba0d203b3105efdcfeea51687f2346ef5e74d26738c2b40c353f270d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 26c | 8,401$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.78 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 2,423$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.85 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 1,791$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.46 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,553$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 71c | 1,411$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 17c | 1,234$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.02 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +188.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 12c | 871.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 24c | 620.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 524.65$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.73 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 76c | 524.28$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.73 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 517.83$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.73 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 464$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.88 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 63c | 459.43$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 55c | 252.31$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 66c | 228.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 25c | 222.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 60c | 192$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 155.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 47c | 133.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 132.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 58c | 129$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 76c | 103$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 100.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 50c | 98.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 68c | 87.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 73.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 35c | 68.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 62c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…48f2backed No | 32c | 50.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 45.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…49a4backed Yes | 66c | 45.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 32c | 43.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 27c | 42.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 55c | 42.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 53c | 40.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 39.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 59c | 28.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 62c | 28.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 76c | 26.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…7b78backed No | 61c | 23.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ef…c4b2backed Yes | 69c | 21.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 75c | 18.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…19e0backed No | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.