Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae607aed84ca69c7650f66d6fecc1197a87bd4c66aa97bb84c88c41f290181e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 9,940$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.93 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 54c | 9,173$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.56 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No | 54c | 8,556$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,907.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 7,540$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.84 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 9c | 4,219$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed No | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 47c | 3,480$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.45 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 3,197$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.96 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 47c | 2,856$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.28 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 80c | 2,490$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 2,369$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.34 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 53c | 2,357$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.54 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 2,347$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.47 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 53c | 1,649$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 54c | 1,308$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 54c | 962.96$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 48c | 867.04$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.18 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked No | 75c | 669.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.41 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 11c | 663.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 38c | 599.92$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 49c | 595.86$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.35 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked No | 53c | 586.59$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 47c | 525.02$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.76 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 12c | 518.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 18c | 489.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 42c | 462.07$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.28 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 48c | 434$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 47c | 422.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.18 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 6c | 330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 46c | 316.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 51c | 300.38$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 47c | 269.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 25c | 268.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 63c | 198.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 27c | 150.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 141.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 74c | 133.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed No | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 29c | 98.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Yes | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 78c | 84.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 71c | 70.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 48c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 72c | 69.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 46c | 63.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 57c | 61.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…9648backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 24c | 58.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Yes | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 71c | 52.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 50.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…7f61backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 51c | 31.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed No | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…185fbacked Yes | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked No | 72c | 20.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…19e0backed No | 79c | 15.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked No | 78c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-21?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?No won
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.